NBA Finals Odds Game 1

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As the NBA Finals are set to tip off on Thursday night, the excitement and anticipation are at an all-time high. The match-up between the Boston Celtics and the Dallas Mavericks is filled with compelling storylines that have fans and analysts buzzing. With stars like Luka Dončić, Kyrie Irving, Jayson Tatum, and Jaylen Brown headlining the series, this year’s Finals promise to be one for the ages.


SPREAD: Celtics -6.5 (-110), Mavericks +6.5 (-110)

MONEYLINE: Celtics -244, Mavericks +202

TOTAL: Celtics U 216 (-110), Mavericks O 216 (-110)



One of the most intriguing aspects of this series is the battle between Kyrie Irving and Kristaps Porziņģis against their former teams. Irving, now with the Mavericks, will face the Celtics, the team he left under controversial circumstances. Meanwhile, Porziņģis, who struggled with injuries and inconsistency during his time in Dallas, will be looking to prove his worth against the team that traded him away.

Adding to the drama are the two uncrowned head coaches, Joe Mazulla of the Celtics and Jason Kidd of the Mavericks, both looking to win their first NBA title as head coaches. The Celtics, historically one of the most successful franchises in NBA history, aim for a league-record 18th championship. However, the current Celtics squad hasn’t won a championship since 2008, and for stars like Tatum and Brown, this represents their first real shot at NBA glory.



The Celtics enter the series as favorites, thanks to their home-court advantage and strong regular-season performance. Boston finished the season with a significantly better record than Dallas, boasting superior offensive and defensive metrics. However, Dallas has proven to be the surprise package of the playoffs, making it to the Finals as a fifth seed by knocking out higher-seeded teams like the Clippers, Thunder, and Timberwolves.

The Mavericks’ success can be attributed to their clutch performances. Luka Dončić and Kyrie Irving have been exceptional in closing out games, making them a formidable opponent in tight situations.  In the playoffs, Dallas’s clutch offense has been impressive, with the team shooting 49% from the field and 48% from three-point range in the final five minutes of close games. In contrast, Boston’s clutch shooting percentages are slightly lower at 44% from the field and 39% from three.



According to BUSR, the Celtics are favored to win the series, with odds reflecting their home-court advantage and overall team depth. However, the NBA Finals odds are not overwhelmingly skewed, indicating a competitive series ahead. The odds for the series to go six or seven games are particularly close, suggesting that experts expect a hard-fought battle.

The NBA Finals MVP race is also heating up, with Jayson Tatum and Luka Dončić as the top contenders. Tatum, who has been Boston’s leader throughout the playoffs, is the favorite, but Dončić’s incredible performances make him a strong challenger. Dončić, who averaged 28.8 points, 8.8 assists, and 9.6 rebounds per game in the playoffs, is the main reason Dallas has defied expectations to reach the Finals. Tatum on the other hand, has been averaging 26 points, 5.9 assists, and 10 rebounds per game, showcasing his all-around game.



Most experts predict a closely contested series, with many expecting it to go the full seven games. The Celtics’ ability to spread the floor and their defensive prowess gives them an edge, especially if Kristaps Porziņģis is not at full strength for Dallas. However, the Mavericks’ ability to execute in high-pressure situations, led by Dončić and Irving, could swing the series in their favor.

The Celtics’ coach Joe Mazulla has a perfect record against Jason Kidd’s Mavericks, having won all four regular-season matchups. This historical edge might play a psychological role, but the playoffs and odds are a different beast, and the Mavericks have shown they can rise to the occasion.