Week 11 Monday Night Football Odds: Cowboys vs Raiders

NFL
November 17, 2025

Week-11 Monday Night Football Cowboys vs Raiders

 

 

Week 11 of the NFL season brings a high-stakes Monday Night Football matchup as the Dallas Cowboys visit the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium. Both teams enter this game desperate to rebound; the Cowboys (3-5-1) have dropped two straight before their bye week, while the Raiders (2-7) are searching to end a three-game losing streak. 

The opening NFL Odds from BUSR list Dallas -3.5 (-105) and Las Vegas +3.5 (-115) with a total of 50.5 (Over -110 / Under -110). On the moneyline, the Cowboys are -180, and the Raiders sit at +150.

The game kicks off Monday, November 17, at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN, ABC, and our BUSR Experience platform from Las Vegas. Both teams have underperformed expectations, but this matchup still offers value for NFL Betting, especially with the total hovering near 50 in a dome environment that favors offensive production.

 

Dallas Cowboys 

 

The Dallas Cowboys enter Week 11 searching for rhythm after back-to-back defeats before their bye. Despite their losing record, the Cowboys remain a dangerous offensive team, averaging 29.2 points per game, one of the highest marks in the league. Their defense, however, ranks near the bottom, allowing over 30 points per game, making them one of two NFL teams surrendering that volume.

Running back Javonte Williams continues to shine in his first season with Dallas, producing 716 rushing yards in nine games, ranking sixth in the NFL. He’s scored nine total touchdowns, including eight on the ground, already surpassing his combined total from two previous seasons in Denver. Williams’ bruising style gives Dallas balance, and he faces a manageable challenge against a Las Vegas defense allowing 106.6 rushing yards per game, in the league’s lower half against the run.

Quarterback Dak Prescott will benefit from the time off after a disappointing outing against Arizona. With a healthier offensive line and a clear plan to exploit mismatches, Dallas should be able to sustain drives. The Raiders’ defensive front remains inconsistent beyond Maxx Crosby, providing minimal pressure elsewhere. That lack of disruption leaves the secondary vulnerable, giving Prescott clean pockets to attack downfield.

Dallas is 4-5 against the spread and 2-3 ATS on the road this season. Their games are 6-3 to the Over, underscoring their identity as a high-scoring but defensively erratic team. While the Cowboys’ inconsistency on defense raises questions, their offensive firepower and depth make them the more complete unit heading into this primetime meeting.

The Cowboys’ recent acquisitions of defensive tackle Quinnen Williams and linebacker Logan Wilson should bolster a run defense that has ranked near the bottom, but this unit will need immediate cohesion. Dallas can afford a shootout; they thrive in up-tempo situations,  but stabilizing defensively remains the missing piece to turning statistical dominance into wins.

 

Las Vegas Raiders

 

The Las Vegas Raiders continue to struggle offensively, averaging fewer than 20 points per game over their last month, though they’ve shown occasional flashes, scoring 29 points two weeks ago against Jacksonville. Their inconsistency is reflected in their record (2-7) and their inability to protect their quarterback or establish the run for extended stretches.

The Raiders’ offensive line remains a significant weakness, and the injury report compounds the issue. Jackson Powers-Johnson has been ruled out, while Geno Smith, Tristin McCollum, and Dylan Parham are questionable. The absence of interior stability limits protection schemes, exposing Geno Smith to an aggressive Dallas front led by newcomers Williams, Wilson, and veteran Kenny Clark.

Offensively, Las Vegas has alternated between lifeless showings and brief sparks. They were held to six points or fewer in three of their last five games, but they have surpassed 20 points five times this season, a sign they can capitalize when opponents fail to pressure Smith. The key for the Raiders will be establishing an early rhythm through quick throws and a controlled tempo, thereby preventing Dallas from dictating defensive looks.

Defensively, the Raiders have held opponents to 106.6 rushing yards per game, but their secondary ranks near the bottom of the league in coverage efficiency. Maxx Crosby remains the anchor of the unit, yet without complementary pressure, opposing quarterbacks have often carved up this defense. Their inability to generate takeaways (ranking near last in interceptions) leaves them reliant on winning third down and red-zone stands.

The Raiders are 3-5-1 against the spread and 1-2-1 ATS at home this season. Their games have hit the Under in six of nine, but that’s essentially a result of offensive stagnation rather than defensive dominance. Playing under the bright lights at Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas will need to lean on energy, field position, and disciplined clock management to compete with a Dallas team that can score in bunches.

 

Betting Recommendation and Final Prediction

 

The Monday Night Football Odds make this one of the tighter handicaps of Week 11. The line opened Cowboys -3.5, and models from multiple outlets peg this game closer to Cowboys -2.5, suggesting a mild overvaluation on the favorite. However, public money has leaned heavily toward Dallas, with approximately 78 percent of tickets backing the Cowboys. The total opened at 51 and settled at 50.5, a minimal adjustment indicating balanced Over/Under action.

Dallas boasts a more reliable offense and a better quarterback, while the Raiders’ offensive line and inconsistency remain glaring liabilities. Javonte Williams should find success against a mid-tier run defense, and Prescott’s efficiency when the ground game clicks makes the Cowboys dangerous on early downs. The Raiders will need an exceptional performance from Geno Smith to keep pace, but protection concerns limit the likelihood of that happening.

From a totals perspective, Dallas’ track record leans Over, while Las Vegas’ home games trend Under. In a dome, pace favors the Over, and if Dallas reaches its average near 29 points, the Raiders need only 21 to clear the total. Their recent scoring uptick suggests that outcome is plausible, especially with garbage-time potential against a shaky Dallas defense.

Expect Dallas to control the line of scrimmage, generate turnovers, and dictate tempo. The Raiders may have spurts of competitiveness, but lack the consistency to sustain drives. The Cowboys’ offensive versatility and red-zone proficiency should prove decisive under the Monday Night Football spotlight.

 

Pick: Cowboys -3.5 and Over 50.5
Moneyline Option: Cowboys -180 (safer for parlay use)

 

Dallas remains the superior team in execution, offensive rhythm, and overall efficiency. In NFL Betting terms, laying the short number or pairing the Cowboys with the Over presents the most straightforward path to value in this Week 11 matchup.

 

 

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