NBA Finals Odds: Game 5

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NBA Finals Odds and Expert Picks

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Ignites the Finals: Thunder Tie Series 2-2 with Epic Comeback

OKC Returns Home with a Hero’s Momentum and the Championship Dream Alive

Just when it seemed like the Indiana Pacers were about to take a potentially decisive lead, the MVP appeared. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander delivered an unforgettable performance to lead the Oklahoma City Thunder to a 111-104 victory, tying the series 2-2.

With Game 4 hanging by a thread and OKC trailing by 10 points in the second half, Gilgeous-Alexander proved why he’s one of the deadliest players on the planet. He scored 15 of his 35 points in the final 4 minutes and 38 seconds, leading a 16-7 run that sealed the win for the Thunder. It was a clutch performance worthy of an MVP—and of bettors watching the NBA finals odds closely.

Shai Takes Over When It Matters Most

The Canadian didn’t just carry the team in crunch time—he scored every point for the Thunder down the stretch, except one.

As soon as SGA took control of the game, the NBA 1st Half lines  started shifting dramatically. Bettors who trusted OKC to rally live or at halftime were rewarded.

Jalen Williams and Caruso: The Perfect Sidekicks

Jalen Williams contributed 27 points in the biggest game of his career so far, and Alex Caruso added 20, proving his value on both ends of the floor. Chet Holmgren also stepped up with a double-double of 14 points and 15 rebounds.

Despite making only three three-pointers—their lowest total of the season—the Thunder found other ways to win. OKC’s NBA 2nd Half Lines looked shaky early on, but the quiet comeback began in the first quarter when they trimmed the deficit to just one.

Indiana Starts Strong but Can’t Handle the Heat

The Pacers came out firing. In under five minutes, they had already put up 20 points—something that had only happened once before all season against the Thunder. With Pascal Siakam (20 points), Tyrese Haliburton (18), and Obi Toppin (17), Indiana seemed firmly in control.

They even built a 10-point lead in the third quarter—their largest of the series. The NBA Finals Odds quickly swung in Indiana’s favor, and many were already penciling in a 3-1 lead.

But basketball is a game of moments, and Shai’s was beginning.

OKC Heads Home with Emotional and Statistical Momentum

Now the series is a best-of-three, and with Game 5 in Oklahoma City this Monday, the Thunder return home with not just a court advantage but renewed confidence. The NBA 1st Half Lines reflect it: following this win, OKC’s championship chances increased significantly in major sportsbooks.

Historically, teams leading 3-1 in the NBA Finals have won the title in 37 of 38 cases. Smart bettors knew this too, and found value in the NBA 2nd lines by predicting a Thunder bounce-back.

What to Expect in Game 5 

Shai at home is a different beast: His home numbers have been stellar all season. Watch the NBA Finals Odds for him to score 30+ points.

Indiana hurt, but not out: The Pacers are fast, dangerous, and deadly from the perimeter. If they get hot from deep again, they could flip expectations.

Watch the role players: Jalen Williams and Caruso continue to make a difference. Their player lines in the NBA 1st Half Lines might offer solid opportunities.

A Wide-Open Finale with High Stakes

The Finals are more alive than ever. With the series tied at 2-2, emotional, physical, and statistical momentum is on the Oklahoma City Thunder’s side—but the Indiana Pacers have already proven they’re not going down easily. For bettors, this is the perfect time to dig deep, analyze every detail, compare NBA finals odds, and find value where others only see uncertainty.

NBA Finals Odds for Game 5

Thunder and Pacers Face Off in Crucial Game 5: The Most Unpredictable NBA Finals in Years

Shai, Haliburton, and a Perfect Stage for Bettors: Game 5 Will Define the Series

With the series tied at 2-2 and statistics confirming the importance of this matchup, NBA Finals Odds have become a key tool for bettors looking to capitalize on this unique opportunity.

OKC Dominates Game 4 with a Massive Comeback

The Thunder took Game 4 in Indianapolis with a 111-104 win, thanks to a stellar showing from their most trusted trio:

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with 35 points
• Jalen Williams, with 27 points
• Chet Holmgren, with 14 points and 15 rebounds

The trio combined to shoot 24-of-51 from the field (47%) and hit a perfect 27-for-27 from the free-throw line, a stat that certainly caught the attention of those tracking live NBA 1st Half Lines during the game.

Back-and-Forth Finals: Who Will Break NBA Finals Odds?

No team has managed back-to-back wins so far in this series:

• Indiana won Game 1 with a last-second three
• OKC bounced back strongly in Game 2
• The Pacers rallied in Game 3
• Shai took over in Game 4

The Importance of Game 5: History Confirms It

The numbers are precise: 74.2% of teams that win Game 5 in a tied 2-2 NBA Finals go on to win the championship. Here are some recent examples:

• 2022: Warriors won Game 5 and the title in six
• 2021: Bucks won Game 5 on the road and finished in six
• 2015: Warriors took Game 5 and closed out the series in six
• 2011: The Mavericks (coached by Indiana’s current head coach, Rick Carlisle) won Game 5 and the championship

NBA 2nd Half Lines reflect this: the winner of Game 5 will likely become the title favorite, with more than a 70% chance of winning according to BUSR betting lines for Game 5.

Fast-Paced Action, Relentless Young Stars, and Crazy Comebacks

This Finals series has the second-fastest pace since 1997 and features the second-youngest rosters in 70 years. That explains the constant energy and frequent momentum shifts:

• There have been 10 games in the 2025 Playoffs with comebacks of 15+ points, including five by Indiana and one by OKC
• Three of the four Finals games have been won by the team trailing at the start of the fourth quarter

This makes live NBA Finals Odds as unpredictable as they are potentially profitable. Value can appear at any moment of the game.

What to Watch for Tonight

Shai at Home Is a Lock: His best performances have come in OKC. The NBA Finals Odds for him to score over 30 points are highly tempting.

Holmgren and Williams as Wild Cards: Their consistency in points and rebounds has made their betting lines in NBA 2nd Half Lines somewhat undervalued.