NFL Week 6 Sunday Recap: Key Results, Betting Takeaways, and Sunday Night Football Storylines
Week 6 of the NFL season delivered a mix of defensive slugfests, explosive offensive showcases, and game-deciding mistakes that flipped NFL betting odds across the country.
For bettors tracking NFL Betting trends, Sunday offered clarity on which teams can sustain success and which are masking serious flaws. From early London kickoffs to prime-time finishes under the Sunday Night Football spotlight, the action underscored how thin the margins are in 2025’s parity-driven landscape.
With playoff positioning starting to form and point spreads tightening, these matchups not only changed division races but also shifted the value lines on BUSR’s updated NFL betting lines. Below is a breakdown of every major Sunday result, complete with performance context, quarterback efficiency notes, and data-driven betting takeaways.
Denver Broncos 13, New York Jets 11
The London slate once again produced an ugly offensive showing, and while the score looked close, Denver dominated nearly every measurable metric. The Broncos outgained the Jets by roughly 160 net yards and averaged 2.9 yards more per play, while New York managed a stunningly low 1.4 yards per snap. The Jets sustained a single productive drive all morning, ending in a field goal, as Denver’s pass rush overwhelmed Justin Fields for nine sacks.
Denver’s own execution issues kept the game within reach. A Troy Franklin fumble and a long kickoff return allowed New York to pick up two early field goals without offensive traction. Guard Matt Peart compounded matters with drive-killing penalties, stalling several promising possessions.
The Jets briefly led late in the third quarter after a penalty in Denver’s end zone resulted in a safety, but rookie quarterback Bo Nix finally steadied himself on the ensuing series. Nix strung together a methodical field-goal drive that restored a two-point edge, and the Broncos’ defense closed it out by collapsing the pocket repeatedly on Fields’ final possessions.
For bettors, Denver covered narrow road-favorite NFL betting lines thanks to defensive efficiency and time-of-possession control. The under cashed easily, continuing the strong under trend for London games dating back to 2021.
Indianapolis Colts 31, Arizona Cardinals 27
Without Kyler Murray, Arizona leaned on veteran Jacoby Brissett, and while turnovers defined the early minutes, the veteran found rhythm as the game progressed. The Colts opened with a mistake of their own when Daniel Jones failed to spot linebacker Mack Wilson dropping underneath for an interception. Brissett promptly gave the ball back, his receiver slipping on the route, but the teams soon traded steady scoring drives.
Even after losing rookie star Marvin Harrison Jr. to injury, the Cardinals trailed only 14-10 at halftime. Brissett responded in the second half with three consecutive scoring drives, two touchdowns and a field goal, largely through tight end Trey McBride and wideout Zay Jones. Arizona briefly seized a 27-24 advantage midway through the fourth quarter.
Indianapolis countered with a signature power sequence. Behind Jonathan Taylor, the Colts engineered a clock-eating march that ended in a go-ahead touchdown to reclaim a 31-27 lead. When Brissett tried to answer, he was swallowed by a collapsing pocket for a decisive third-down sack inside the red zone.
In betting terms, the Colts rewarded moneyline players while the over cleared comfortably thanks to efficient red-zone execution on both sides.
Pittsburgh Steelers 23, Cleveland Browns 9
This AFC North battle never approached offensive fireworks. The teams traded four field goals across a sluggish first half. Pittsburgh moved the ball between the 20s but repeatedly stalled, while Cleveland’s rookie quarterback Dillon Gabriel struggled to push the ball beyond five yards per attempt.
Cleveland’s inability to establish the run against Pittsburgh’s front turned the game. Trailing 9-3 midway through the third quarter, the Browns nearly swung momentum when they pressured a punt, but were flagged for roughing the kicker. That mental lapse gave Pittsburgh a new set of downs, and Aaron Rodgers capitalized by leading an 80-yard drive capped by a short touchdown to extend the lead to 16-3.
After a Browns field goal trimmed the margin, Rodgers connected deep with DK Metcalf for a knockout score. Pittsburgh’s defense finished with five sacks and forced multiple three-and-outs, suffocating a Browns team that averaged under 4 yards per play.
From a wagering perspective, the Steelers easily covered mid-single-digit NFL betting odds, and the total stayed under by double digits. For Cleveland, the offensive inefficiency continues to crush overs, as they hit in only one of their six games.
Carolina Panthers 30, Dallas Cowboys 27
Former Cowboy Rico Dowdle fueled Carolina’s upset in a revenge-driven performance. Released by Dallas last offseason, the running back erupted again after a 206-yard effort the prior week, amassing 80 first-half rushing yards and adding a 36-yard receiving touchdown from Bryce Young early in the third quarter.
That play gave Carolina a 20-17 advantage. Young maintained composure against Dallas’ heavy pressure, later connecting with McMillan for another score. The Cowboys’ offense, led by Dak Prescott, countered with highlight plays from George Pickens, keeping the game tied 27-27 entering the final minutes.
Both attacks sputtered late until Young engineered the deciding possession. Facing fourth down near midfield, he found Hunter Renfrow to extend the drive. Ryan Fitzgerald converted the 33-yard game-winning field goal, moving Carolina to 3-3.
Dowdle’s combined 150+ scrimmage yards and Young’s clutch throws rewarded Panthers backers on the moneyline at +160 and sent the over ticket home comfortably. Dallas’ defensive regression against the run is now a key NFL Betting storyline heading into Week 7.
Los Angeles Rams 17, Baltimore Ravens 3
Los Angeles stumbled through a mistake-filled first half but dominated after intermission. Kicker Joshua Karty missed a 27-yarder, and Matthew Stafford lost a fumble to squander early chances. Special-teams chaos compounded matters when the Rams appeared to recover a muffed punt before officials nullified it with an “ineligible downfield kick” penalty. Baltimore capitalized on field position to lead 3-0, and rookie Puka Nacua exited briefly after a hard hit in the end zone.
Momentum flipped entirely after halftime. Stafford led a 75-yard touchdown drive to open the third quarter, finding rhythm with Cooper Kupp and Tyler Higbee. On the ensuing possession, Zay Flowers fumbled deep in Ravens territory, setting up another Higbee score. Flowers lost another fumble later while Baltimore threatened, effectively ending the comeback attempt.
Nacua returned to spark a key third-down conversion late, and Los Angeles’ defense closed strong, holding the Ravens under 200 total yards. Baltimore benched Cooper Rush for Tyler Huntley, who provided one decent drive before misfiring toward DeAndre Hopkins on fourth down.
The Rams’ cover and the under both cashed, a double win for bettors anticipating defensive control.
New England Patriots 25, New Orleans Saints 19
In one of the weekend’s most unexpectedly explosive matchups, the Patriots and Saints traded big plays throughout an offensive showcase few anticipated. Rookie quarterback Drake Maye put on a first-half clinic, connecting on long passes that continually stretched New Orleans’ secondary.
New England struck early with a 53-yard completion, and though a 61-yard touchdown was wiped out by offensive pass interference, the Patriots’ aggressiveness was evident. The Saints matched the pace with their own 53-yard strike, keeping the game tight through the first quarter.
After the Patriots fumbled on a fourth-down try near midfield, New Orleans capitalized for a 16-14 halftime advantage. Maye answered before intermission, engineering a drive capped by his third touchdown pass, a perfectly placed throw to Kayshon Boutte in the back of the end zone.
The Patriots extended their lead in the third quarter with a field goal, making it 25-16, while leaning on a balanced approach that mixed inside zone runs and vertical shots. New Orleans managed a late field goal to draw within six, but their offense bogged down in the fourth quarter as Maye remained aggressive. Another OPI flag nullified a potential game-sealing deep pass to Stefon Diggs, but on the next possession, Maye delivered again, hitting Boutte downfield to ice the win.
For bettors, New England covered short home-favorite NFL betting odds, and the over surged past expectations before halftime. Maye’s emergence has dramatically shifted his Offensive Rookie of the Year odds on BUSR, climbing him into the top five entering Week 7.
Seattle Seahawks 20, Jacksonville Jaguars 12
With both defenses excelling against the run, the Seahawks and Jaguars were expected to attack through the air, and that’s exactly how this game unfolded. Jacksonville started hot as Trevor Lawrence found Brian Thomas Jr. for a touchdown to make it 6-0 after a failed extra point.
Seattle’s response came swiftly. Sam Darnold, filling in as a starter, completed only 16 passes, but his efficiency made the difference. He connected repeatedly on deep plays to Jaxon Smith-Njigba, A.J. Barner, and Cooper Kupp, the latter catching his first touchdown as a Seahawk. By halftime, Seattle had established control and extended its lead to 20-6, entering the fourth quarter.
Lawrence tried to rally again, finding Thomas for what appeared to be a long touchdown, but an illegal formation on Travis Hunter negated the play. This recurring issue has cost the Jaguars multiple scoring chances this season. Lawrence later found Tim Patrick for a score, trimming the deficit to eight, but Seattle’s defense tightened.
The pivotal moment came when Barner’s long reception flipped the field position late, setting up clock-draining runs that sealed the win. The Seahawks’ vertical passing success and disciplined secondary covered the spread, while the under cashed comfortably.
Seattle’s quiet 4-2 start has improved their future NFL betting lines, especially in NFC West odds, where they’re now within striking distance of the Rams.
Los Angeles Chargers 29, Miami Dolphins 27
In one of the weekend’s most dramatic finishes, Justin Herbert led a late-game rally to lift the Chargers over Miami in a game that swung wildly both on the scoreboard and in NFL Betting markets.
The contest began chaotically. Miami appeared poised to take early control before Jaylen Waddle juggled a pass into an interception by Tony Jefferson, which Los Angeles converted into a field goal. The Dolphins’ offense rebounded on the next drive as Devon Achane exploded for a 49-yard touchdown, briefly putting Miami ahead.
After trading field goals, the Dolphins led 13-9 at halftime behind Waddle’s circus catches, including a 45-yard grab to set up a late kick. The Chargers responded immediately after the break with a sustained drive capped by Herbert’s short touchdown to Ladd McConkey, their second-round rookie standout.
Momentum swung fully toward Los Angeles when Tua Tagovailoa threw an interception to Benjamin St. Juste, setting up another Herbert score to Kimani Vidal, pushing the lead to 23-13. Miami clawed back with Achane’s second rushing touchdown, then capitalized on a quick three-and-out to mount a late drive. With under a minute left, Tagovailoa hit Darren Waller wide open in busted coverage for the go-ahead score, giving Miami a 27-26 edge.
But Herbert wasn’t done. Evading a sack, he found McConkey streaking down the sideline for 42 yards, setting up Cameron Dicker’s 33-yard game-winner. Safety Derwin James ended Miami’s last desperation play with an interception.
Los Angeles covered as slight road underdogs, and the over narrowly hit thanks to the late offensive explosion. For the Dolphins, their 1-5 record leaves bettors wary of laying points with them going forward.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30, San Francisco 49ers 19
Two battered rosters clashed in Tampa, where Baker Mayfield led the Buccaneers to a signature win over the injury-depleted 49ers. Both teams entered at 4-1, but San Francisco was missing critical starters— Brock Purdy —and Tampa eventually lost rookie star Emeka Egbuka to a hamstring injury.
The first half featured a flurry of turnovers. Mac Jones, starting for San Francisco despite injury, threw an interception to Kindle Vildor, setting up Rachaad White’s quick touchdown run. The 49ers countered with a deep completion to Kendrick Bourne, settling for a field goal.
San Francisco’s defense suffered a devastating blow when Fred Warner exited with a broken ankle. Despite that, the 49ers briefly went ahead 10-7 after Christian McCaffrey punched in a short touchdown. Tampa regained control before halftime as Mayfield connected with Kameron Johnson on a 34-yard busted-coverage score, entering intermission up 20-16.
Jones opened the second half by leading another field goal drive, but Mayfield’s deep strike to Tez Johnson for a 45-yard touchdown extended the margin to 27-19. The Buccaneers’ front, led by Vita Vea and Lavonte David, shut down the run and forced multiple turnovers. David’s strip-sack of Jones set up a clinching field goal by Chase McLaughlin, securing a 30-19 victory.
Tampa Bay covered and hit the over on the closing NFL betting lines, while Mayfield’s NFL MVP odds improved slightly amid a 5-1 start. San Francisco’s offense, however, faces major questions without Purdy and Warner.
Las Vegas Raiders 20, Tennessee Titans 10
The Raiders snapped a long skid behind a suffocating defensive performance. Facing one of the NFL’s weakest offensive lines, Las Vegas pressured Cam Ward relentlessly, forcing two first-half turnovers. A strip-sack on Ward’s own 2-yard line set up a short Geno Smith-to-Michael Mayer touchdown, and an interception on the next series erased another Tennessee scoring opportunity.
Las Vegas extended the lead in the second half despite Smith throwing a red-zone interception under duress. It mattered little; Tennessee’s offense managed only 10 points and fewer than 230 total yards.
Late-game clock management drew attention as Pete Carroll curiously abandoned runs with Ashton Jeanty despite controlling a two-score lead. That decision indirectly impacted prop bettors, as Jeanty finished with 75 rushing yards, a half-yard shy of many sportsbook totals.
Still, the Raiders’ defense carried the day, posting five sacks and limiting Ward to short completions. For the first time since Week 1, Las Vegas covered the spread and hit the under simultaneously, rewarding contrarian backers.
Green Bay Packers 27, Cincinnati Bengals 18
What was expected to be a blowout turned into a grind for Green Bay. Entering as 14-point favorites, the Packers stumbled early when Jordan Love’s deflected pass resulted in an interception. Despite controlling possession, Green Bay produced only 10 first-half points.
Fortunately for the Packers, their defense stifled veteran Joe Flacco, holding Cincinnati scoreless until the third quarter. Flacco finally connected on a long drive capped by a touchdown pass, but Green Bay answered immediately as Josh Jacobs powered into the end zone.
Cincinnati closed the gap to 17-10 before Love delivered a crucial touchdown to tight end Tucker Kraft, restoring a two-score advantage. Flacco responded with another efficient series, but the Bengals’ defense, missing pass-rusher Trey Hendrickson, couldn’t hold late. Green Bay added a field goal to secure the 27-18 final.
The Packers failed to cover the inflated spread but hit the game total precisely in line with pregame NFL Betting Odds projections. The Bengals’ growing second-half competence has made them a quiet underdog value for backdoor covers in recent weeks.
Kansas City Chiefs 30, Detroit Lions 17
Aggression has been Dan Campbell’s hallmark, but it has backfired repeatedly against the defending champions. Detroit’s opening-drive touchdown was negated by a penalty, forcing a field goal. Later, a fourth-down attempt failed when Amon-Ra St. Brown dropped a conversion pass, shifting momentum.
Patrick Mahomes dissected a depleted Lions secondary, completing all but eight passes. Kansas City racked up 26 first downs to Detroit’s 18, controlling tempo throughout. Tight end Travis Kelce and rookie Xavier Worthy both recorded key third-down conversions as the Chiefs extended drives efficiently.
Detroit’s offense couldn’t maintain rhythm against Kansas City’s disguised pressures. Jared Goff was hurried on over a third of his dropbacks and finished with fewer than 200 passing yards. A late Lions touchdown only narrowed the margin cosmetically.
Postgame tension flared when JuJu Smith-Schuster attempted to shake hands with Brian Branch, who responded with a punch to the helmet, a move likely to draw league discipline.
The Chiefs easily covered short road-favorite NFL betting Lines, while the under held after defensive intensity ramped up late. Kansas City remains atop AFC title futures, while Detroit’s previously sharp market position will likely soften entering Week 7.
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