NFL Analysis: Week 5 Bears vs Commanders


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As we dive deep into the world of NFL Lines, the Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders match-up was an anticipated one. Based on the teams’ recent performances, the odds heavily favored the Washington Commanders, but the eventual outcome was an exhilarating twist.

Few expected the Chicago Bears, with a 0-4 record, to pull off such a feat against the Commanders. Having nearly bested the Eagles in their previous encounter, it looked like the Commanders would have an easy win. However, the tables turned as the Bears led 17-0 before the Commanders made their first significant move. 

Justin Fields, the Bears’ quarterback, was the star of the night, developing a lethal chemistry with D.J. Moore. Together, they combined for eight receptions, amassing 230 yards and three touchdowns. A massive chunk, 230 out of Fields’ 282 passing yards, was thrown to Moore. With Cole Kmet’s contribution added, Fields’ throws were majorly focused on these two dynamic players. Fields ended the night with an impressive 15-of-29 for 282 yards and four touchdowns and added 57 yards on the ground over 11 carries.

The Bears’ offensive line, after a lackluster start to the season, provided Fields with the protection he needed. Khalil Herbert was another highlight until an unfortunate injury cut short his night. With Roschon Johnson already out due to a concussion, the Bears turned to their fullback in the game’s closing moments.

On the Commanders’ front, Sam Howell, despite being under duress, posted significant numbers. Though he managed to find Logan Thomas and Curtis Samuel for touchdowns, key players like McLaurin and Dotson had an off night. With the Bears’ lead growing, Brian Robinson’s opportunities in the run game were limited, but he contributed in the passing game.

Commanders vs Bears
Chicago Bears wide receiver DJ Moore (2) catches a touchdown pass over Washington Commanders cornerback Kendall Fuller (29) in the second quarter Thursday, Oct. 5, 2023, at FedEx Field. (Brian Cassella/Chicago Tribune)

DJ Moore’s Stellar Performance

DJ Moore emerged as the lifeline of the Bears’ offense during their crucial moments. As memories of the previous loss to the Broncos resurfaced and the Commanders surged, Moore converted a crucial pass from Fields into a decisive touchdown, despite Washington’s Kendall Fuller’s attempt to intercept. 

Racking up a personal best of 230 receiving yards and three touchdowns, Moore showcased his caliber right from the onset. His quick footwork and strategic play resulted in a massive 58-yard completion early in the game and a remarkable end-zone touchdown soon after. Another commendable 32-yard gain was only cut short by an out-of-bounds call.

Being part of the groundbreaking trade with the Carolina Panthers has allowed Moore to truly demonstrate his prowess, becoming the receiver the Bears envisioned alongside Fields. Regardless of the Commanders’ and Broncos’ lower-ranked defenses, Moore and the Bears capitalized. Particularly noteworthy is the synergy between Moore and Fields – rapidly becoming one of the NFL’s top quarterback-receiver duos. In the highlighted match, Moore was behind six of the Bears’ ten longest plays.


Were the Odds Right?

Reflecting on the pre-match odds (Spread: Bears +5.5, Commanders -5.5) it’s clear that the Commanders were the bookmakers’ favorite. However, the Bears defied expectations, proving that the +5.5 spread for them was a miscalculation, but was it a fluke? Are the Bears back?  While the Moneyline did reflect a significant return for those betting on the Bears, it’s evident that their performance was undervalued. As for the total points, the game did prove to be a high-scoring affair, making the Over a wise choice for those who foresaw an offensive showdown.

The dynamic nature of NFL Odds was on full display, reminding all that in the world of sports, especially the NFL, nothing is set in stone until the last play.