NFL Picks: Week 1 Titans vs Saints

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As the iconic Caesars Superdome in New Orleans readies to host an NFL spectacle at 1:00 pm ET on Sunday, September 10, 2023, both the Tennessee Titans and the New Orleans Saints look poised for a redemptive campaign, especially after ending the previous season with a similar disappointing 7-10 scorecards. Both teams are looking to rebound and compete, which will prove difficult, especially for the Saints.  

BUSR NFL Lines

Spread: Titans +3 (-110), Saints -3 (-110) 

Moneyline: Titans +140, Saints -143 

Total: O 41 (-110), U 41 (-110) 

Glance at the Bygones

For the Titans, last season’s journey was characterized by their commendable resilience on the road, as they split their division games evenly. Their offense, gathering an average of 17.5 points and 296.8 yards per game, saw commendable contributions from Ryan Tannehill, who threw for 2536 yards. The indefatigable Derrick Henry thundered with 1538 rushing yards, while Robert Woods showcased his receiving prowess with 527 yards.

The Saints, meanwhile, experienced challenges both at home and away, clinching a marginally better home record. The team’s offensive display, clocking 19.4 points and 333.8 yards on average each game, was spearheaded by Andy Dalton, with 2871 passing yards. The spotlight was equally shared by Alvin Kamara, amassing 897 rushing yards, and Chris Olave, who emerged as a leading receiver with 1042 yards. Derek Carr will make this squad better but the question remains: “How much better?”

Deep Dive Analysis

The BUSR NFL Odds data might position the Titans as a 3-point underdog, but the underlying dynamics are nuanced. A season ago, the Titans stood tall as the AFC’s premier seed. However, last year’s dip, accompanied by the Jaguars claiming the division, has only fired their ambitions further. Despite their previous setbacks, with Tannehill’s consistency and Derrick Henry’s vigor still in the fold, coupled with the addition of DeAndre Hopkins in place of the traded A.J. Brown, the Titans’ offense looks very robust.

In contrast, the Saints, with an equally disappointing 7-10 last season, faced major hurdles offensively. With the induction of Derek Carr as their quarterback, there’s potential for offensive rejuvenation. However, the absence of a significant running game, particularly with Kamara’s suspension onset, poses challenges. With Carr in the mix, adapting to a new system, and their previous home game jitters, the Saints may need more than just strategy to combat the visiting Titans, led by the strategic prowess of Mike Vrabel. 

Thus, a sensible wager would be on the Titans, covering the game’s spread, with the -173 money line being a good safe wager too. 

Injury Roundup

The Titans’ roster exhibits notable voids, as K. Philips (WR) is sidelined due to a knee concern, C. Okonkwo (TE) remains a questionable inclusion owing to a leg injury, and C. Farley (CB) is out indefinitely with a back issue. H. Haskins (RB) and S. Brown (DT) are on the injured reserve list, while N. Petit-Frere (OL) awaits his return in Week 8 from suspension.

On the Saints’ front, uncertainties loom over J. Graham (TE) and T. Smith (WR), both grappling with injuries. The significant blow, however, is A. Kamara’s (RB) suspension until Week 4. E. Benjamin (RB), A. Dowell (LB), and T. Turner (G) are all out, confined to the injured reserve list.

As the Titans and Saints converge at the Caesars Superdome, it’s not just a game on the line, but a statement of intent for the season ahead. With both teams eyeing an assertive start, this clash promises fireworks, strategies, and riveting football action. Keep an eye on any injured players recovering and making an impact on the odds.