NFL Picks: Week 11 Bengals vs Saints

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Thursday Night Football is gearing up for a must-watch NFL AFC North clash as the Cincinnati Bengals face off against the Baltimore Ravens. The Bengals, with a 5-4 record, are looking to bounce back from a narrow home defeat to the Texans, while the Ravens, at 7-3, are also recovering from a close loss to the Browns. This matchup is a sequel to their Week 2 battle, which the Ravens narrowly won, and with Baltimore entering as 3.5-point favorites, the stage is set for another intense showdown.

BUSR NFL Lines

Spread: Bengals +3.5 (-108), Ravens -3.5 (-112) 

Moneyline: Bengals +160, Ravens -190 

Total: O 46 (-111), U 46 (-109) 

Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals’ four-game winning streak came to an abrupt halt after a last-second field goal loss. Despite the setback, Joe Burrow’s arm has been on fire, with 2,208 passing yards to date, and he’s been especially sharp lately, with over 340 yards in his recent outings. The Bengals’ workhorse, Joe Mixon, has been shouldering the ground game, while Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving prowess puts him seventh in the league for receiving yards. Tyler Boyd has also been a reliable target for Burrow. With a ranking of 20th in scoring offense and a defense that’s 16th in points allowed, the Bengals boast a strong turnover differential, which could be a pivotal factor in this matchup.

Baltimore Ravens 

On the Raven’s side, their winning streak was snapped in a similar fashion to the Bengals, with a late-game defeat. Lamar Jackson remains a dual-threat leader, despite the team’s struggle to ignite the ground game against the Browns. Gus Edwards is edging Jackson in rushing yards, and Zay Flowers has emerged as a promising receiver. Baltimore’s offense ranks 5th in scoring, while their defense is the stingiest in the League, allowing only 15.7 points per game. With players like Roquan Smith leading in tackles and Geno Stone grabbing interceptions, the Ravens’ defense is formidable.

Prediction

For bettors, this game presents an opportunity to weigh the importance of turnover differential and offensive momentum. The Bengals, tied for the best differential in the league, may have an edge in a game that’s expected to be tight. However, the Ravens’ stout defense and home-field advantage cannot be overlooked. In a prime-time game that’s likely to be decided by the finest of margins, the suggestion is to take the points with Cincinnati. The Bengals are primed to seek revenge for their early-season loss, and with Burrow’s recent form, they’re well-positioned to cover the spread. Grab the Bengals as 3.5-point underdogs in BUSR’s NFL Odds.