NFL Picks: Week 11 Bills vs Jets


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The New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills are slated for a showdown this Sunday at Bills Stadium, with both teams coming off disheartening losses and looking to turn the tide of their seasons. The Jets, with a 4-5 record, are trying to find their rhythm after a Sunday night loss to the Raiders, while the Bills, sitting at 5-5, are also licking their wounds from a NFL Monday Night defeat to the Broncos.



Spread: Jets +7 (-112), Rams +1 (-108) 

Moneyline: Jets +265, Bills -340 

Total: O 40 (111), U 40 (-109) 


New York Jets

NFL Team New York JetsThe Jets have had a challenging season, hampered by the injury to Aaron Rodgers in the opening game. The offense has stumbled, managing only 16.0 points per game and a struggling red zone performance, ranking last in the NFL at a 22.7% success rate. Despite this, their defense remains competitive, conceding an average of 19.1 points per game. In their latest outing, the Jets were unable to capitalize on their early lead against the Raiders, with Zach Wilson at the helm, throwing for 263 yards and leading the rush, but it wasn’t enough to avoid a 16-12 loss. For bettors, the Jets’ recent history reveals a troubling trend of nine consecutive road losses against AFC East opponents and a failure to cover the spread in five of their last six away games, which are critical factors to consider when placing wagers.


Buffalo Bills 

NFL Team Buffalo BillsThe Bills’ season has been anchored by a strong defense that allowed only 17.8 points per game over nine games, while the offense has been more productive than the Jets, scoring 26.7 points per game with a balance of passing and rushing touchdowns. However, the recent loss to the Broncos showed cracks in the Bills’ armor, with Josh Allen only managing 86 passing yards and two interceptions. This cost their offensive coordinator his job. Despite these struggles, the Bills have a formidable record of seven straight home wins against AFC East opponents but have not covered the spread in their last six games.



The prediction leans toward the Bills to bounce back, albeit cautiously, given their performance issues in the recent game. The Bills, despite their slip-up, were still close to a victory and will be keen to address the shortcomings, especially the penalties that cost them dearly. Conversely, the Jets’ offensive woes and inability to score in their last three games suggest difficulties in making significant inroads against the Bills’ defense. This matchup is expected to be tightly contested, with both teams showing vulnerabilities, but the Bills might have a slight edge in preparation and the will to rectify their last performance. Bet on them to cover the 7-point spread on BUSR’s NFL Odds.