NFL Picks: Week 12 Dolphins vs Jets

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The NFL ‘s first-ever Black Friday game is set to commence with the Miami Dolphins visiting the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium. The Dolphins, holding onto a mixed bag of recent results, aim to build on their 20-13 win over Las Vegas, despite suffering losses to formidable teams like Philadelphia and Kansas City. The Jets, on a downward trend with a three-game losing streak, are hoping to reverse their fortunes after a crushing 32-6 defeat to Buffalo.

BUSR NFL Lines

Spread: Dolphins -9.5 (-110), Jets +9.5 (-110) 

Moneyline: Dolphins -500, Jets +375 

Total: O 41 (-110), U 41 (-110) 

Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins, boasting the NFL ‘s top offense, are coming off a strong performance against the Raiders, gaining a total of 422 yards. Despite a third-down conversion rate of 38.3 percent, Tua Tagovailoa’s sharp passing, which included 325 yards and two touchdowns, was instrumental in their last game. Miami’s offense is a force to be reckoned with, averaging 30.5 points and 434.0 total yards per game, with their red zone efficiency standing at an impressive 75.5 percent. On defense, they give up 23.8 points per game, but their ability to pressure the opponent has led to 31 sacks and seven interceptions so far.

New York Jets 

The Jets are facing an uphill battle to ignite their offense, which ranks near the bottom of the league, especially after being held to 155 total yards by the Bills. With Zach Wilson now third-string, Tim Boyle is stepping up as the starting quarterback, sparking curiosity about whether he can jumpstart the team’s performance. The Jets’ offense has struggled, scoring only 15.0 points per game and converting a mere 22.9 percent of their third-down attempts. The defense, while surrendering 20.4 points per game, has been solid against the pass and will need to be at its best to contain the Dolphins’ explosive playmakers.

Prediction

The matchup between the Dolphins and Jets is shaping up to be a display of Miami’s offensive prowess against New York’s struggling offense, and there is no reason to believe the Jets can pull it off. With the Jets transitioning at quarterback and battling offensive line issues, Miami’s dynamic offense, led by Tagovailoa and potentially featuring running back Mostert and wide receiver Hill, is poised to capitalize. Expect the Dolphins to leverage their second-ranked rushing attack and overall offensive dominance to secure a win, reinforcing their status among the NFL’s elite and giving bettors a reason to favor them in BUSR’s NFL Odds in this historic first Black Friday game.