NFL Picks: Week 13 Commanders vs Dolphins

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Mostert and Robinson set to Shine in Dolphins vs. Commanders Clash at FedExField Stadium in Landover, Maryland, on NFL Sunday Night Football.

BUSR NFL LINES 

SPREAD: Miami Dolphins -9.5 (-110), Washington Commanders +9.5 (-110)

MONEYLINE:  Miami Dolphins -450, Washington Commanders +325

TOTAL: Miami Dolphins O 50 (-110), Washington Commanders U 50 (-110)

Aquatic Assault: Dolphins surge into Battle with Mostert’s Might

The Miami Dolphins enter the contest on a high note, having secured a convincing 34-13 victory against the New York Jets in their recent outing. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa orchestrated the offense, amassing 243 passing yards with one touchdown and two interceptions on an efficient 70.0% completion rate. Mostert, the dynamic running back, showcased his prowess with 94 rushing yards on 20 carries, averaging 4.7 yards per carry, and finding the end zone twice. Wide receiver Jaylen Waddle played a pivotal role, recording eight receptions for 114 yards against the Jets.

Tagovailoa continues to be a key playmaker for the Dolphins, boasting 3,177 passing yards with a 69.8% completion rate and 22 touchdowns against 10 interceptions. Mostert’s contribution on the ground has been significant, with 785 rushing yards and an impressive 13 touchdowns. Other offensive leaders include Devon Achane, Tyreek Hill, and Waddle, each making substantial contributions in their respective roles.

The Dolphins’ defense is led by impactful players such as Jaelan Phillips, Jevon Holland, and Jalen Ramsey. Phillips has been disruptive with 7.0 tackles for loss and 6.5 sacks, while Holland and Ramsey have been instrumental in the secondary, combining interceptions and pass breakups.

In the realm of betting, the Dolphins have been consistent performers, boasting a 7-4-0 record against the spread. Notably, they have a positive trend when favored by 9.5 points or more, going 3-1 ATS in such scenarios. Furthermore, their games have tended to exceed the set point totals, hitting the over in six out of 11 opportunities, indicating a propensity for higher-scoring matchups, a determinant for the NFL lines.

Capital clashes: Commanders look to rally against the Dolphins’ Onslaught

On the flip side, the Washington Commanders are coming off a challenging 45-10 loss to the Dallas Cowboys. Quarterback Sam Howell faced adversity, accumulating 300 passing yards but failing to register a touchdown while throwing one interception. Robinson, the featured running back, had 53 rushing yards on 15 carries, with Curtis Samuel emerging as a bright spot with nine catches for 100 yards.

Howell’s season statistics reflect a mixed bag, with 3,339 passing yards, 18 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions. Robinson’s contributions on the ground have yielded 611 rushing yards and five touchdowns. Receivers Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson, along with defensive standouts Kamren Curl and Jamin Davis, add depth and skill to the Commanders’ lineup.

The Commanders’ defense features notable players like Curl, Davis, and Benjamin St-Juste, who have demonstrated their prowess in tackles, tackles for loss, sacks, and interceptions. Da’Ron Payne has been a force on the defensive line, contributing significantly with tackles, tackles for loss, and sacks.

In terms of betting, the Commanders have recorded five wins against the spread in 12 games this season. Notably, they have yet to cover the spread when considered underdogs by 9.5 points or more. However, their games have displayed a tendency to surpass the set point totals, doing so in seven out of 12 opportunities, important for the NFL odds.