NFL Picks: Week 13 Falcons vs Jets

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The Atlanta Falcons and the New York Jets are set to face off in an intriguing NFL matchup at MetLife Stadium this Sunday. The Falcons, with a 5-6 record, are coming off a confidence-boosting win against the Saints, while the Jets, at 4-7, are looking to rebound from a disappointing loss to the Dolphins.

BUSR NFL Lines

Spread: Falcons -2.5 (-119), Jets +2.5 (-101) 

Moneyline: Falcons -145, Jets +125 

Total: O 34 (-110), U 34 (-110) 

Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons have been grappling with scoring challenges this season, averaging 19.4 points per game. Their offense has been a mix of aerial and ground attacks, garnering 201.5 yards per game from passing with 10 touchdowns and nine interceptions, complemented by a robust rushing game averaging 139.3 yards per game with 10 touchdowns. Atlanta’s defense has been reasonably effective, conceding 21.1 points per game and showing resilience against the run.

In their recent victory over the Saints, the Falcons displayed a balanced offensive performance. Quarterback Desmond Ridder passed for 168 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions, while Bijan Robinson led the rushing attack. Wide receiver Drake London emerged as a key target, contributing significantly with five catches for 91 yards. Interestingly, the underdogs have been the winning team in the Falcons’ last 6 games. Their special teams have room for improvement, ranking last in the NFL in both average kickoff and punt returns.

New York Jets

The Jets have had a turbulent season, with their offense particularly struggling. They’ve averaged a meager 14.8 points per game, with the passing game contributing 166.8 yards on average, alongside seven touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Their rushing game hasn’t fared much better, averaging 93.4 yards per game with just three touchdowns. While their defense has been more competent, allowing 21.6 points per game, it hasn’t been enough to offset the offensive woes.

New York’s recent loss to Miami highlighted these challenges. Quarterback Tim Boyle struggled with two interceptions, and the running game was stifled, with Breece Hall managing only 25 yards. Garrett Wilson’s touchdown reception was a lone bright spot in an otherwise lackluster offensive display. The Jets have a daunting record against NFC South opponents, losing their last nine matchups, and have also struggled to cover the spread against teams with losing records.

Prediction

Given the current form and statistics, the Falcons seem better positioned to win this matchup. Despite their challenges, Atlanta’s recent performance against the Saints showed promise, particularly in their ground game. The Jets, on the other hand, have been consistently underperforming on offense, which might continue against the Falcons’ defense. Expect Atlanta to leverage their rushing strength and capitalize on the Jets’ offensive struggles to secure a win, even in this road game that still has them as favorites on BUSR’s NFL Odds.