NFL Picks: Week 3 Bears vs Chiefs

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The stage is set for a gripping face-off between the NFL Franchises Chicago Bears and the Kansas City Chiefs this Sunday, in what promises to be a riveting encounter at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. With both teams having contrasting journeys so far, let’s delve deeper into the nuances of their performance, before making a sound prediction.

BUSR NFL Lines

Spread: Bears +12.5 (-110), Chiefs -12.5 (-110) 

Moneyline: Bears +520, Chiefs -800 

Total: O 47.5, U 47.5 

A Glimpse into Chicago Bears

The Chicago Bears, with a sense of urgency, are vying for their first victory of the season. A cloud of déjà vu hangs over them as they stare at the possibility of another dismal start, reminiscent of 2016 when they won a paltry 3 games. Steering the ship is Justin Fields, who, despite a completion rate of 60.6%, has had a mixed bag of performances with 427 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions to his name. DJ Moore and Cole Kmet, with their combined effort, have chalked up 211 receiving yards over 17 catches. Additionally, Khalil Herbert is slowly but steadily making a mark with 4 receptions. 

On the ground, the Bears are posting an average of 94.5 yards every game, with Herbert emerging as the leading rusher, amassing 62 yards from 16 attempts. The Bears’ defensive unit, however, has found itself on the back foot, conceding an average of 32.5 points and 383 yards in each game. While T.J. Edwards has been a tackling machine with 26 to his credit, Yannick Ngakoue has managed to notch up a sack, and Eddie Jackson has been instrumental with 2 pass deflections.

Kansas City Chiefs’ Journey Thus Far

The Chiefs, on the other hand, are keen on making a statement with their first home win, pushing them above the .500 mark. With a formidable record of 5 victories in their last 6 home matches, Arrowhead’s home advantage is palpable. Spearheading the offense is none other than Patrick Mahomes, who has maintained a completion rate of 62.5%, throwing for 531 yards, accompanied by 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Justin Watson and Skyy Moore have pooled their efforts to accumulate 177 receiving yards and a touchdown. Noah Gray, too, has made his presence felt with 6 receptions.

The Chiefs, much like the Bears, average 95.5 yards on the ground. Isiah Pacheco has been the chief contributor, racking up 93 yards over 20 carries. In the defensive department, the Chiefs seem to have a tighter grip, allowing just 15 points and 319.5 yards on average per game. Nick Bolton, with 15 tackles, leads the defensive stats sheet, while Chris Jones has managed 1.5 sacks and Justin Reid has contributed with 2 pass deflections.

Prediction

The Bears’ journey thus far has been rather lackluster, especially given the potential winnable nature of their initial matches against the Packers and Buccaneers. A concerning statistic emerges as the Bears have stumbled in 9 of their last 11 games as significant underdogs. Contrarily, the Kansas City Chiefs’ prowess, especially at home, is well-documented. The return of stalwarts like Travis Kelce and Chris Jones only bolsters their case.

Given the disparity in form, performances, and home advantage, the NFL Odds seem heavily tilted in favor of the Chiefs. It might be early days in the season, but the gap in class and execution between the Bears and Chiefs is palpable. Thus, for those looking to place a wager, banking on the Chiefs covering the spread on BUSR seems to be the prudent choice. As always, the beauty of football lies in its unpredictability, but this Sunday at Arrowhead, the Chiefs appear poised to roar louder.