NFL Picks: Week 4 Lions vs Packers

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In the fast-paced realm of the NFL, the week 4 showdown between the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field this Thursday is poised to set sparks flying. This preview will delve into the essentials, topping it off with a prediction to keep the stakes high.

BUSR NFL Lines

Spread: Lions -1 (-110), Packers +1 (-110) 

Moneyline: Lions -119, Packets -102 

Total: O 45.5 (-110), U 45.5 (-110) 

Green Bay Packers 

Seeking to augment their home victories, the Packers are eyeing a gleaming 3-1 season start. With a commendable 6 wins in their previous 9 home stands, they defend their turf. 

The spotlight shines on Jordan Love, with a pass completion rate of 53.1%, amassing 655 yards, 7 touchdowns, and a meager 1 interception. The dynamic duo, Jayden Reed and Romeo Doubs, have netted 277 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Luke Musgrave is making waves with 11 receptions. On the ground, the Packers are clocking an average of 90.3 yards per game, led by AJ Dillon’s 107 yards across 39 carries. The defensive barricade, allowing 20.7 points and 336.3 yards per game, showcases Quay Walker with 28 tackles, Rashan Gary netting 3.5 sacks, and Rasul Douglas with a notable interception.

The Packers’ knack for defying odds is clear, clinching 4 of their last 5 games as underdogs against NFC North adversaries. Remarkably, they’ve covered the spread in 9 of their previous 10 September clashes as underdogs, showcasing a sturdy performance in the first quarter and often scoring the inaugural touchdown.

Detroit Lions 

The Lions, on a quest for their second road triumph, aim for a 3-1 season record. With Jared Goff at the helm, boasting a 69.9% pass completion rate for 819 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions, they have a solid leader at the help of the ship.

Receivers Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta have combined for 461 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, alongside Josh Reynolds with 9 receptions. The ground game is solid, averaging 111.7 yards per game with David Montgomery leading with 141 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, the Lions are maintaining a tight ship, allowing only 21 points and 297.3 yards per game. Standouts include Jerry Jacobs with 20 tackles, Aidan Hutchinson with 2 sacks, and Brian Branch’s critical interception.

Despite losing their last six September matchups against NFC North foes, the Lions have consistently covered the spread. Their recent performance in Week 4 games and at Lambeau Field has been impressive, often seizing control in the first half, especially as favorites.

Predictions and NFL Odds

This game poses a crucial test for both teams. While the Packers boast home advantage, the Lions have displayed a more balanced offense and better statistics through 3 games. The Packers’ inability to dominate the ground – ranking 26th in rush offense and 28th in rush defense – is a worrying sign. Conversely, the Lions have triumphed in their last three encounters with the Packers, painting a hopeful picture.

I am leaning towards the Detroit Lions to pull off a win, based on their current form and recent history against the Packers. Detroit covering the -1 spread seems like a solid bet.