NFL Picks: Week 6 Commanders vs Falcons

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In Week 6 of NFL´s action, the Atlanta Falcons are gearing up to face the Washington Commanders at the iconic Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, October 15, 2023.

BUSR NFL Lines

Spread: Washington Commanders +2.5 (-110), Atlanta Falcons -2.5 (-110)

Moneyline: Washington Commanders +118, Atlanta Falcons -144

Total:  Washington Commanders O 42.5 (-110), Atlanta Falcons U 42.5 (-110)

Falcons looking to build on their recent success

The Falcons soared into this matchup with a thrilling 21-19 victory over the Houston Texans on October 8, showcasing a resilient offense. Quarterback Desmond Ridder led the charge, throwing for an impressive 329 yards, completing 75.7% of his passes, and adding one touchdown. He also demonstrated his versatility by rushing for a touchdown and gaining 10 yards on the ground. Bijan Robinson, the Falcons’ running back, contributed with 46 yards on 14 carries and caught a touchdown pass, while Kyle Pitts, their tight end, was a reliable target with seven receptions for 87 yards.

Commanders seeking redemption 

On the other side of the field, the Commanders suffered a setback, succumbing to the Chicago Bears with a score of 40-20. Quarterback Sam Howell displayed his passing prowess, accumulating 388 yards, completing 72.5% of his attempts, and connecting for two touchdowns. In the rushing game, Brian Robinson Jr. managed only 10 yards on six carries but made up for it with four catches for 33 yards. Logan Thomas was a standout in the receiving department, hauling in nine catches for 77 yards, including a touchdown.

Betting landscape

As we delve into the betting landscape, it’s essential to note that the Falcons have struggled to cover the spread this season, achieving only one victory in this department. When favored by 2.5 points or more, they have a lone win in three attempts. Furthermore, their games have gone over the set point totals in just one out of five opportunities, suggesting a tendency toward lower-scoring affairs.

Conversely, the Commanders have fared relatively better in betting, covering the spread on two occasions this year. As underdogs of 2.5 points or more, they have clinched two against-the-spread wins in three attempts, showcasing their ability to perform against expectations. Additionally, their games have exceeded the point totals in three out of five outings, indicating a propensity for higher-scoring contests.

NFL Player Stats

Taking a closer look at the key players on both sides, we find that Desmond Ridder is the leading force for the Falcons. He has accumulated 1,073 passing yards, averaging an impressive 214.6 yards per game, with a completion rate of 65.4%. Ridder has thrown for four touchdowns and three interceptions and has also been a dual-threat with two rushing touchdowns and 57 rushing yards. In the backfield, Bijan Robinson has been a reliable workhorse, racking up 364 yards on 67 carries and adding 146 yards on 21 receptions, including two touchdowns. The Falcons’ receiving corps is bolstered by Kyle Pitts, who has recorded 208 yards on 18 receptions.

For the Commanders, Sam Howell has demonstrated his skills with 388 passing yards per game and a 72.5% completion rate. He has thrown for two touchdowns and one interception, making him a potent offensive weapon. In the running game, Brian Robinson Jr. has struggled, managing just 10 yards on six carries but has been a contributing factor in the passing game with 33 receiving yards. Logan Thomas, the team’s top receiver, has accumulated 77 yards on nine catches, complemented by one touchdown.

On the defensive side, David Onyemata, Kaden Elliss, and Jessie Bates III have been key contributors for the Falcons. Onyemata has recorded 18 tackles, 3 tackles for loss, 1.5 sacks, and 3 passes defended. Kaden Elliss has accumulated 35 tackles, 2 tackles for loss, and 1 sack. Jessie Bates III leads the team with 35 tackles, 1 tackle for loss, 3 interceptions, and 4 passes defended.