NFL Picks: Week 6 Patriots vs Raiders

NFL
October 11, 2023

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In an enthralling Week 6 NFL showdown at Allegiant Stadium, the New England Patriots are set to clash with the Las Vegas Raiders this Sunday.

 

BUSR NFL Lines

Spread: Patriots +3 (-110), Raiders -3 (-110) 

Moneyline: Patriots +135, Raiders -166 

Total: O 41.5 (-110), U 41.5 (-110) 

NFL Team New England PatriotsNew England Patriots

Striving for redemption from a 1-4 beginning, the New England Patriots are on the hunt for their second road victory. Their recent away performances, however, have been shaky with losses in 4 of their last 6 matches. Young QB Mac Jones, with a 62.5% pass completion rate, has chalked up 1,008 yards with 5 touchdowns but has also thrown 6 interceptions. 

Receivers Kendrick Bourne and Hunter Henry have made significant contributions, racking up a combined 394 yards and 4 touchdowns. Demario Douglas, on the other hand, has 10 receptions to his name. With an average of 83.8 yards per game, the Patriots’ ground game is led by Rhamondre Stevenson, who has tallied 188 yards and a touchdown. On the defensive side, they are letting in an average of 26.2 points and 298.4 yards per game. Ja’Whaun Bentley tops the tackles for New England with 36, complemented by Matthew Judon with 4 sacks and an interception by Christian Gonzalez. 

However, the Patriots do have a notable record of winning 12 out of their last 13 October road duels against AFC teams. Interestingly, they’ve consistently missed covering the spread in their previous eight games as underdogs and have the unfortunate distinction of being at the bottom in the NFL for both points per game and H2 points this season.

Las Vegas RaidersLas Vegas Raiders

On the flip side, the Las Vegas Raiders aim for their second home victory to even out their season record. Historically, their home performance has been a mixed bag with an even split in their last 10 matches. At the helm, Jimmy Garoppolo boasts a completion rate of 68.8% with 917 yards, alongside 6 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. The receiver duo of Davante Adams and Jakobi Meyers has been electric, pulling in a combined 716 yards and 6 touchdowns, while running back Josh Jacobs has also pitched in with 23 catches. The Raiders’ rushing attack, averaging 71.4 yards per match, is led by Jacobs with 235 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, they’ve been conceding an average of 22.8 points and 326.6 yards each match. 

Robert Spillane stands out in the Raiders’ defense with 42 tackles, while Maxx Crosby has been menacing for opponents with 5 sacks, and an interception to Amik Robertson’s credit. However, the Raiders’ performance has seen a dip against teams with a losing record, dropping seven of their last eight such encounters. Additionally, their inability to cover the spread as favorites following a home triumph has been consistent in their last seven games. Concerningly, they’re at the NFL’s bottom in terms of rushing yards and forced fumbles this season.

 

Prediction

Forecasting this matchup: The Patriots, having been outplayed 72-3 in their last two matches and are grappling with severe offensive deficiencies. The Raiders, despite their own hiccups, have momentum on their side, fresh off a commendable victory against the Packers and enjoying home advantage. 

Additionally, Jimmy Garoppolo’s personal motivation to perform against his former team, after being traded from the Patriots to the 49ers, is another intriguing subplot. The Patriots might have a sturdy defense, but their offensive woes, particularly on the road, can’t be ignored. My bet is on the Raiders to cover the -3 spread on BUSR NFL Odds.