NFL Picks: Week 7 Bills vs Patriots

NFL
October 19, 2023

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This NFL Sunday is heating up as the Buffalo Bills, carrying the momentum from their recent victory over the New York Giants, are set to clash with the New England Patriots.

BUSR NFL Lines

Spread: Bills -8.5 (-110), Patriots +8.5 (-110) 

Moneyline: Bills -410, Patirots +310 

Total: O 41.5 (-110), U 41.5 (-110) 

 

Buffalo Bills

NFL Team Buffalo BillsThe Bills, holding a commendable 4-2 record, narrowly edged out the Giants with a 14-9 win. Quarterback Josh Allen has been nothing short of excellent, passing for 1,576 yards and securing 13 touchdowns with 6 interceptions. James Cook is leading the charge on the ground, tearing up turf and clocking in impressive rushing yards. Meanwhile, in the air, Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis are proving to be a dynamic duo, racking up significant receiving yards and touchdowns.

Their defense, led by Terrel Bernard and Leonard Floyd is formidable, with the Bills ranking top in the league for both interceptions and sacks this season. However, despite their strong record, it’s worth noting the Bills have stumbled in their past Week 7 games, often not covering the spread.

 

New England Patriots

NFL Team New England PatriotsThe Patriots, on the other hand, are desperately searching for a win. Their current 1-5 record, accentuated by their recent loss to Las Vegas, has put them on the back foot. Mac Jones is in trouble, having thrown for 1,208 yards. Rhamondre Stevenson and Ezekiel Elliott are spearheading the rushing attack, while Kendrick Bourne shines as a key receiver. But the team’s defense, even with the efforts of Kyle Dugger and Matthew Judon, needs some tightening, especially with their recent track record of not covering the spread as underdogs.

 

Prediction

While people might be tempted by a home underdog victory, this might not be the Patriots’ day. Their struggle, especially on the offense, paired with the Bills’ strong performance against the Giants, tilts the scales in favor of Buffalo. Expect the Bills to capitalize on their momentum and come out on top. Don’t shy away from the -8.5 spread in BUSR NFL Odds, but be careful with the O 41.5 as the Patriots’ offense might not contribute a lot to that.