The 2025 NFL Top Offensive “Triplets” Rankings

NLF Odds and Betting Analysis

2025 NFL Triplets Analysis: Statistics and Odds

 

It’s that annual tradition again! We’re diving deep into the NFL’s premier offensive trios – the “triplets” – a nod to the legendary trio of Troy Aikman, Emmitt Smith, and Michael Irvin, who powered the NFL Odds for the Cowboys’ 1990s dynasty.

Identifying the key players for each team wasn’t always straightforward. When there were close calls on who would be the starting quarterback or the primary receiving threat, we made judgment calls.

Generally, this meant favoring established veterans unless a younger player was poised for a significant breakout. For instance, Jayden Reed remains the Packers’ top receiver over Matthew Golden, while Tetairoa McMillan of the Panthers has surpassed Adam Thielen.

This marks our first year undertaking this analysis from a PPG (Points per Game) metric perspective, a testament to the consistent effort our team at BUSR News puts into compiling and evaluating these rankings for the sake of NFL futures, including winning the division and then the Super Bowl. Here’s a breakdown of how our panel recently ranked each team’s triplet combination:

 

Tier 8: The Browns at the Bottom

 

NFL Team Cleaveland Brown

32. Cleveland Browns (Avg: 31.9, High: 31, Low: 32)

QB: Joe Flacco, RB: Quinshon Judkins, WR: Jerry Jeudy

Nearly every voter placed the Browns in the last position, which is understandable given their current offensive makeup. Flacco’s effectiveness as a quarterback is widely considered diminished, despite his brief surge in Cleveland during late 2023 (he notably threw many interceptions). The team is also relying heavily on a rookie running back and a wide receiver who, despite a strong performance last year, lacks a long history of consistent production.

 

Tier 7: Avoiding the Absolute Worst

 

NFL Team New Orleans Saints

31. New Orleans Saints (Avg: 30.2, High: 29, Low: 31)

QB: Tyler Shough, RB: Alvin Kamara, WR: Chris Olave

Numerous uncertainties surround this Saints unit. The starting quarterback role for Shough is not guaranteed, a projection we’re making based on the Saints’ investment in him. There are questions about Kamara’s ability to defy the effects of aging (he hasn’t averaged over 4.2 yards per carry since 2020), and Olave’s consistent availability on the field remains a concern. These combined uncertainties contribute to this ranking and their NFL odds.

 

NFL Team Indianapolis Colts

30. Indianapolis Colts (Avg: 29.3, High: 28, Low: 31)

QB: Daniel Jones, RB: Jonathan Taylor, WR: Michael Pittman Jr.

Indianapolis’s ranking suffers due to the ambiguity at quarterback, where Daniel Jones is projected to start, given Anthony Richardson’s recurring injury issues. Jones’s limitations are well-known; he’s not a player who can elevate those around him. This places a significant burden on Taylor, who rebounded last season but hasn’t replicated his stellar 2021 performance, and Pittman, whose status as the top target might be challenged by Josh Downs.

 

NFL Team Carolina Panthers

29. Carolina Panthers (Avg: 28.3, High: 25, Low: 32)

QB: Bryce Young, RB: Chuba Hubbard, WR: Tetairoa McMillan

Young showed improvement in the latter half of last season after a brief benching for Andy Dalton. From Week 8 onward, he ranked 18th in EPA per dropback (per Tru Media), a notable improvement but still not elite. This wasn’t enough to sway our panel, which also showed little enthusiasm for Hubbard (who has a history of one strong season and two less productive ones when given significant carries) and the talented rookie McMillan, who enters a challenging team environment.

 

NFL Team Tennessee Titans

28. Tennessee Titans (Avg: 28.0, High: 25, Low: 30)

QB: Cam Ward, RB: Tony Pollard, WR: Calvin Ridley

This situation mirrors Jayden Daniels’ arrival with the Commanders last year, when they were ranked 25th. Ward is arguably the quietest No. 1 overall pick in recent memory. Still, his dynamic and unpredictable playing style, if it aligns with Brian Callahan’s coaching, could significantly boost this group in 2026. Ridley, although not Terry McLaurin, is a competent receiver (having surpassed 1,000 yards in every season since returning from suspension), and Pollard appeared healthier last season, now further removed from his severe leg injury.

 

NFL Team New York Giants

27. New York Giants (Avg: 26.8, High: 24, Low: 29)

QB: Russell Wilson, RB: Tyrone Tracy Jr., WR: Malik Nabers

This ranking is heavily influenced by Nabers’s exceptional season and lingering perceptions of Wilson’s past performance. When Wilson wasn’t connecting on deep passes last season, the Steelers’ offense struggled, much like his offenses in Denver (two years) and his final season in Seattle. However, Nabers’s extraordinary talent should elevate the Giants beyond what their quarterback situation would otherwise dictate.

 

Tier 6: Significant Room for Growth

 

NFL Team New England Patriots

26. New England Patriots (Avg: 25.4, High: 21, Low: 30)

QB: Drake Maye, RB: TreVeyon Henderson, WR: Stefon Diggs

The Patriots are a team that could see a substantial leap in next year’s rankings and NFL odds. Maye performed commendably last season despite a struggling offensive line and a lack of receiving weapons. Henderson was one of the most explosive running back prospects, and consistent long runs could significantly raise his profile. Diggs may not be a long-term fixture in New England, but as a temporary top receiver, he provides Maye with a reliable short-to-intermediate target.

 

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25. Pittsburgh Steelers (Avg: 24.5, High: 21, Low: 30)

QB: Aaron Rodgers, RB: Jaylen Warren, WR: DK Metcalf

This represents a notable decline for Rodgers, whose Jets surprisingly ranked ninth last year – a position that caused considerable confusion at the time. Now, his trio with Warren and Metcalf is just one spot above where the Steelers were ranked a year ago with Russell Wilson, Najee Harris, and George Pickens. While some might advocate for a higher ranking if Kaleb Johnson breaks out, given Rodgers’ play since his 2021 MVP season, a position in the bottom third of the league seems appropriate for this trio.

 

NFL Team Seattle Seahawks

24. Seattle Seahawks (Avg: 23.9, High: 18, Low: 27)

QB: Sam Darnold, RB: Kenneth Walker III, WR: Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Metcalf’s former team lands just ahead of his new one, underscoring Rodgers’ current career stage, given Darnold is now the Seahawks’ quarterback. Opinions on this group were highly varied, which is unsurprising after Darnold’s recent season. He exhibited MVP-caliber play for a period but completely faltered late in the season behind an injured offensive line. JSN had a breakout second year, looking like a star, and Walker is excellent when healthy; however, the valid concerns surrounding Darnold temper their overall ranking.

 

NFL Team New York Jets

23. New York Jets (Avg: 23.5, High: 15, Low: 28)

QB: Justin Fields, RB: Breece Hall, WR: Garrett Wilson

The Jets displayed the second-highest variance in rankings across all teams, fitting given the volatility of their key players. Fields possesses a high ceiling and a low floor, characterized by explosive rushing but inconsistent passing. Hall has occasionally looked like an elite running back, but his performance dipped to 4.2 yards per carry last year, with his average declining annually. Garrett Wilson, despite often questionable quarterback play, consistently achieves 1,000-yard receiving seasons.

 

NFL Team Chicago Bears

22. Chicago Bears (Avg: 21.8, High: 21, Low: 23)

QB: Caleb Williams, RB: D’Andre Swift, WR: D.J. Moore

In stark contrast to the Jets, the Bears had one of the narrowest ranges in their rankings, consistently placing 21st, 22nd, or 23rd on every ballot. This marks a decline from their ranking a year ago, primarily due to the changed perception of Williams, who struggled significantly at times during his rookie season, partly due to his surroundings and partly due to holding onto the ball too long. This is a crucial year for Williams and the Bears under new coach Ben Johnson, who is expected to provide a more conducive environment for success.

 

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21. Denver Broncos (Avg: 21.7, High: 16, Low: 28)

QB: Bo Nix, RB: R.J. Harvey, WR: Courtland Sutton

Denver barely surpassed the Bears in these rankings, with a significant split in how our panel viewed them, unlike the consensus on Chicago. BUSR experts have difficulty evaluating Nix, who capably ran Sean Payton’s offense as a rookie and offers a high floor, though not the same ceiling as other quarterbacks from his draft class. Harvey is highly anticipated, and Sutton provides a strong X-receiver presence.

 

Tier 5: Slightly Below Average

 

NFL Team Atlanta Falcons

20. Atlanta Falcons (Avg: 19.2, High: 17, Low: 23)

QB: Michael Penix Jr., RB: Bijan Robinson, WR: Drake London

The comparison between the Falcons and Broncos on this list is intriguing. Penix made only three starts as a rookie, showing promise but having a much smaller track record than Nix. However, Atlanta benefits from the presence of Robinson and London, while Denver has Harvey and Sutton, leading to the Falcons’ higher ranking. It will be interesting to track their relative positions next year.

 

NFL Team Jacksonville Jaguars

19. Jacksonville Jaguars (Avg: 19.0, High: 17, Low: 21)

QB: Trevor Lawrence, RB: Travis Etienne, WR: Brian Thomas Jr.

Jacksonville, ranked 16th last year, has fallen this season despite Brian Thomas Jr. delivering one of the best rookie wide receiver seasons in NFL history. This indicates current opinions on Lawrence and Etienne. Lawrence played only 10 games last season and struggled. While he possesses immense talent, the window for him to fully live up to his highly touted prospect expectations may be closing. Etienne’s role in the backfield could also diminish this year with the addition of new players.

 

NFL Team Las Vegas Raiders

18. Las Vegas Raiders (Avg: 17.5, High: 15, Low: 23)

QB: Geno Smith, RB: Ashton Jeanty, TE: Brock Bowers

The Raiders have made a significant leap from 28th to 18th, mainly due to two key additions and their second-year standout. Smith represents a substantial upgrade over Aidan O’Connell, as does Jeanty over Zamir White. These two changes alone foreshadowed a rise for the team. Adding Bowers, who is coming off an exceptional tight end season (and replacing Jakobi Meyers as the likely top target, though Meyers is still on the roster), creates a recipe for a considerable jump in perception.

 

NFL Team Arizona Cardinals

17. Arizona Cardinals (Avg: 17.3, High: 13, Low: 24)

QB: Kyler Murray, RB: James Conner, TE: Trey McBride

The Cardinals generated a wider range of opinions than anticipated, particularly for a team ranked 17th after finishing 16th the previous year. Part of this disparity stems from Marvin Harrison Jr.’s somewhat disappointing rookie season; he was expected to perform immediately like Nabers and Thomas Jr., but he fell behind McBride in targets and was less efficient. This suggests many view Arizona as being in a holding pattern until Harrison Jr. asserts himself or more is learned about his potential.

 

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16. Minnesota Vikings (Avg: 16.7, High: 11, Low: 21)

QB: J.J. McCarthy, RB: Aaron Jones, WR: Justin Jefferson

This ranking is a clear testament to the impact of Justin Jefferson, who is arguably the best or second-best receiver in football, and the robust offensive system established by head coach Kevin O’Connell, which has enabled almost any quarterback to succeed. Without these factors, it’s hard to see how the Vikings could be this high. McCarthy has yet to play an NFL snap (and wasn’t a high-volume passer in college), and Jones is entering his age-31 season, so neither is a sure thing, yet here they are.

 

Tier 4: Solid, Not Spectacular

 

NFL Team Miami Dolphins

15. Miami Dolphins (Avg: 14.1, High: 8, Low: 17)

QB: Tua Tagovailoa, RB: De’Von Achane, WR: Tyreek Hill

Miami presents a challenging evaluation due to several factors. First, Tagovailoa’s significant injury risk can have a drastic impact on the team’s offensive functionality. Then there’s Achane, who had a record-setting rookie year but regressed in his second season. Finally, Hill’s performance dipped last season, and he faces numerous off-field concerns. For Miami to land in the middle of the pack despite these challenges is an achievement.

 

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14. Green Bay Packers (Avg: 14.0, High: 5, Low: 19)

QB: Jordan Love, RB: Josh Jacobs, WR: Jayden Reed

The Packers exhibited the highest variance and the broadest range in their rankings, which seems appropriate. This team is a Rorschach test; any interpretation of Jordan Love and company’s 2024 season can appear valid. Love dealt with injuries, Jacobs had a standout year, and the receivers were inconsistent in their productivity. It’s challenging to assess this group based on their performance last season. Nevertheless, strong belief in Love’s talent and Jacobs’ production allows them to crack the top half of the league.

 

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13. Los Angeles Chargers (Avg: 13.1, High: 9, Low: 19)

QB: Justin Herbert, RB: Omarion Hampton, WR: Ladd McConkey

The Chargers fell out of the top half of the league (23rd) in last season’s rankings due to questions about their running back situation (Gus Edwards was projected with uncertainty surrounding JK Dobbins’ health) and who would emerge as Herbert’s top target (Josh Palmer was inaccurately projected). This author questioned that ranking at the time and was ultimately proven correct. A year later, with two explosive new weapons alongside their star quarterback, they are back in contention.

 

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12. Washington Commanders (Avg: 12.6, High: 12, Low: 16)

QB: Jayden Daniels, RB: Brian Robinson Jr., WR: Terry McLaurin

Washington is the biggest riser year-over-year, jumping from 25th to just outside the top 10. This is fueled by Daniels’s exceptional rookie season and finally seeing McLaurin play with a legitimate NFL quarterback. However, Robinson, a straightforward runner with limited receiving contributions, holds this group back. Adding an explosive rookie running back likely propelled the Commanders into the next tier.

 

Tier 3: On the Edge of Top-10

 

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11. Houston Texans (Avg: 10.6, High: 9, Low: 14)

QB: C.J. Stroud, RB: Joe Mixon, WR: Nico Collins

Despite a challenging season where little went right offensively, the Texans command significant respect from our panel, who consistently viewed them as a borderline top-10 trio. Stroud retains a strong fan base, and Collins has established himself as one of football’s top wide receivers – a true X-receiver excelling in contested catches and after-the-catch situations. Mixon, a volume-dependent plodder, didn’t significantly drag down Houston’s ranking here.

 

NFL Team Dallas Cowboys

10. Dallas Cowboys (Avg: 10.3, High: 5, Low: 14)

QB: Dak Prescott, RB: Javonte Williams, WR: CeeDee Lamb

Prescott and Lamb’s contributions are so impactful that the Cowboys rank this high despite Williams’ near-total inability to generate yards since his rookie ACL tear. It’s surprising how quickly many have forgotten Prescott’s second-team All-Pro selection and second-place finish in NFL MVP voting in 2023. His impact is often overlooked, which is frankly absurd. Suppose Lamb isn’t the league’s best receiver. In that case, it’s only because Justin Jefferson and Ja’Marr Chase are also playing at an elite level simultaneously, similar to how Chris Jones was viewed during Aaron Donald’s prime.

 

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9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Avg: 10.1, High: 8, Low: 14)

QB: Baker Mayfield, RB: Bucky Irving, WR: Mike Evans

The Buccaneers made the second-largest year-over-year jump in rankings, behind only the Commanders, climbing from 21st to ninth. This seems generous, with the trio above potentially receiving too much credit for the offensive line’s and Liam Coen’s contributions last year. It’s easy to overlook that Mayfield led the NFL in interceptions, with an interception rate of 2.8%, nearly identical to the one that led to his benching in Carolina. While his touchdowns certainly offset this, it remains to be seen if that trend will continue under new offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard.

 

NFL Team San Francisco 49ers

8. San Francisco 49ers (Avg: 8.9, High: 6, Low: 13)

QB: Brock Purdy, RB: Christian McCaffrey, TE: George Kittle

The 49ers are another challenging team to rank. The ongoing debate about separating Purdy’s performance from the system in which he thrives is well-documented. McCaffrey, when healthy, is the league’s best running back, but he’s coming off a season where he missed nearly the entire year, his third such instance in eight professional campaigns. Kittle remains an exceptionally reliable and explosive tight end. The sheer talent within this trio is enough to propel the 49ers into the top 10, with the potential to rise further if McCaffrey stays healthy.

 

Tier 2: Just Outside the Top

 

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7. Los Angeles Rams (Avg: 6.5, High: 4, Low: 11)

QB: Matthew Stafford, RB: Kyren Williams, WR: Puka Nacua

Remarkably, 37-year-old Matthew Stafford leads a team ranked this high. He consistently elevates his team when he has capable wide receiver play, and Nacua provides far more than mere competence. Interestingly, the Rams were not penalized for Kyren Williams’ inefficiency as a runner last season, partly because he’s a prolific fantasy football producer due to his constant presence on the field (playing 82% and 87% of the Rams’ snaps in his two starting seasons).

 

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6. Buffalo Bills (Avg: 5.7, High: 4, Low: 8)

QB: Josh Allen, RB: James Cook, WR: Khalil Shakir

This is the first team where every single vote placed them in the top 10, indicating we’re now discussing the true elite. Allen’s inclusion is undeniably the primary reason for the Bills’ high ranking. Cook had a breakout season last year, but his touchdown rate was unsustainably high, and Shakir is a gadget player with a modest 5.5-yard average depth of target last season. Allen’s exceptional talent is why the Bills can compete at this elevated level.

 

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5. Kansas City Chiefs (Avg: 5.4, High: 3, Low: 10)

QB: Patrick Mahomes, RB: Isiah Pacheco, WR: Rashee Rice

This marks the Chiefs’ lowest ranking since Mahomes became the starter. They were ninth before his debut, then consistently ranked second, first, first, second, fourth, second, and first before falling to fifth this season. From our perspective, this is too low. The perceived decline is attributed to poor offensive line play and injuries to both Pacheco and the entire wide receiver corps. We anticipate Kansas City returning to a more dynamic, wide-open offense this season, propelling them back towards the top of the rankings next year.

 

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4. Detroit Lions (Avg: 5.3, High: 2, Low: 7)

QB: Jared Goff, RB: Jahmyr Gibbs, WR: Amon-Ra St. Brown

Over the past few seasons, the Lions have demonstrated themselves to be an efficient machine, consistently generating explosive plays. This should continue as long as Goff remains well-protected by what has been one of the league’s top offensive lines (though it faces significant changes this year). Gibbs might be the NFL’s most explosive runner, and Amon-Ra St. Brown is a guaranteed first down whenever Goff connects with him over the middle.

 

Tier 1: The Elite of the League

 

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3. Baltimore Ravens (Avg: 2.4, High: 1, Low: 5)

QB: Lamar Jackson, RB: Derrick Henry, WR: Zay Flowers

The following two teams on the list were numerically tied. The Ravens are placed third because their lowest individual ranking was fifth, while the Eagles’ lowest was fourth. This was the chosen method for breaking the tie. Regardless of the tie-breaker, this is an elite trio. Jackson played at an exceptionally high level last season, Henry rediscovered his peak form, and Flowers had a breakout year. Expect similar performances and NFL betting lines this coming season.

 

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2. Philadelphia Eagles (Avg: 2.4, High: 1, Low: 4)

QB: Jalen Hurts, RB: Saquon Barkley, WR: A.J. Brown

Philadelphia moved up one spot from third last year to second this season, marking their third consecutive season in the top three. Saquon Barkley’s exceptional running back season, coupled with Hurts’ rebounding from a comparatively weaker passing season in 2023, provided the necessary boost in the rankings (even with the statistical tie with the Ravens). And, of course, A.J. Brown’s consistent elite performance remains a significant asset.

 

NFL Team Cincinnati Bengals

1. Cincinnati Bengals (Avg: 1.6, High: 1, Low: 3)

QB: Joe Burrow, RB: Chase Brown, WR: Ja’Marr Chase

The Bengals have reclaimed the top spot after falling out of the elite tier last season. They were the only team not ranked lower than third and received six of the 10 first-place votes (the Eagles had three, and the Ravens had one). Burrow and Chase delivered a historically dominant performance last season, and they are expected to do so again this year. Chase Brown’s emergence as a valuable complement to the ground game and receiving option further elevates this trio. Given the core of Burrow and Chase, it’s challenging to envision Cincinnati dropping out of the top tier anytime soon; they are truly exceptional.

 

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