Monday Night Football Week 3: Lions vs Ravens
The NFL Week 3 schedule wraps up with a high-stakes Monday Night Football showdown at M&T Bank Stadium as the Detroit Lions visit the Baltimore Ravens. NFL Odds at BUSR list the Ravens as 4.5-point favorites with a total of 50, reflecting respect for both teams’ offensive firepower and the NFL betting market’s expectation of a competitive primetime contest.
For NFL Betting players, this matchup combines elite quarterback play, strong skill-position talent, and contrasting defensive performances.
The Ravens have been steady under Lamar Jackson, winning five of their last six regular-season games and building a reputation as one of the toughest home teams in football. Detroit, however, has been one of the league’s best NFL betting sides, covering in 10 of their last 12 games as an underdog while proving capable of winning outright in that role.
With two strong rosters and playoff aspirations, Monday Night Football offers a clear test of Baltimore’s dominance at home against a Lions team that rarely catches points.
Detroit Lions
The Detroit Lions enter Week 3 with a 1-1 record, having dropped the opener to the Green Bay Packers before rebounding against the Chicago Bears. Despite the early setback, the Lions have won 15 of their last 17 regular-season games and remain one of the NFC’s most consistent performers. Jared Goff has been precise, completing 80.6 percent of his passes for 559 yards, six touchdowns, and only one interception.
His chemistry with Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jameson Williams continues to drive the offense, as the duo has combined for 291 receiving yards and four touchdowns through two games. Tight end Sam LaPorta provides another reliable target with nine catches.
The ground attack complements the passing game, averaging 111.5 rushing yards per contest. Rookie Jahmyr Gibbs leads the backfield with 113 yards and a touchdown, while veteran David Montgomery has offered short-yardage production and remains one of the league’s most consistent scorers.
Montgomery has tallied at least one touchdown in each of his last six road appearances when the total has closed at 50 or higher. His usage in the red zone makes his BUSR anytime touchdown prop particularly attractive.
Defensively, the Lions are allowing 24 points and 302.5 yards per game, with linebacker Jack Campbell leading the team in tackles. Aidan Hutchinson has generated pressure with a sack through two games, while Kerby Joseph has produced an interception. Despite showing balance, Detroit’s defense faces its toughest test yet against Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry, who thrive on keeping defenses guessing with dual-threat capabilities.
From an NFL betting trends perspective, Detroit holds significant value. The Lions have won seven of their last eight games against AFC opponents and have covered the spread in each of their last seven Week 3 games. They have also covered in eight of their last nine games as underdogs of three or more points, with seven of those covers resulting in outright victories. On the road, Detroit has won the first quarter in three straight September games as underdogs against AFC teams.
Player prop angles favor Detroit’s offensive stars. Jared Goff has recorded 253+ passing yards in eight of his last nine road games with totals of at least 50, and he has completed 23 or more passes in seven straight regular-season outings.
Gibbs has scored multiple touchdowns in three of his last four games following a win, while Montgomery has eclipsed 65 combined rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances as an underdog off a victory. Amon-Ra St. Brown, tied for the league lead in receiving touchdowns entering Week 3, provides additional upside against a Ravens defense that has given up explosive plays.
Baltimore Ravens
The Baltimore Ravens arrive at 1-1 after losing to the Buffalo Bills and beating the Cleveland Browns. The Ravens have won five of their last six regular-season games and remain one of the league’s most dominant home sides, winning eight of their previous nine at M&T Bank Stadium. Lamar Jackson has been sharp, completing 68.8 percent of his passes for 434 yards, six touchdowns, and no interceptions.
He has been supported by Zay Flowers and DeAndre Hopkins, who have combined for 317 yards and three touchdowns. Devontez Walker adds depth with two catches early in the season.
On the ground, Baltimore’s run game continues to anchor the offense at 141.5 rushing yards per contest. Derrick Henry leads the backfield with 192 rushing yards and two touchdowns, extending his trend of dominance as a favorite following a home win. Henry has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last seven games in that situation and has eclipsed 111 total yards in five of his last six appearances following a victory.
Jackson’s own running threat remains a key element, as he has recorded 58 or more rushing yards in each of his last five Week 3 games and has averaged over 18 completions in his last seven home starts with a total above 50.
Defensively, Baltimore has been inconsistent, allowing 29 points and 409.5 yards per game. Roquan Smith leads the team with 25 tackles, while Nnamdi Madubuike has provided pass rush with two sacks. Rookie Nate Wiggins has shown promise with one interception, but the unit’s inability to prevent big plays has forced Jackson and the offense into higher-scoring contests.
The Ravens’ NFL betting profile reflects their dominance at home but also exposes vulnerabilities. They have covered the spread in each of their last four home games, but they’ve failed to cover in six of their previous seven at M&T Bank Stadium following a home win. They have also lost two straight Week 3 games as home favorites, suggesting early-season volatility. The first-half results are mixed as well: Baltimore has lost the opening half in three of their last four Week 3 games at home.
Player prop markets heavily feature Jackson and Henry. Lamar has topped 237 passing yards in each of his last four games against NFC opponents, while also ranking first in passer rating this season at 136.6. His dual-threat profile makes both his passing and rushing overs viable. Hopkins’ prop for 18+ receiving yards is nearly automatic, with a 32-game streak supporting it. Henry’s rushing and receiving totals project favorably given Detroit’s aggressive front, while Flowers’ explosive ability adds upside in receiving props.
Pick Suggestion: Lions vs Ravens Prediction
Monday Night Football showcases two legitimate playoff teams, and the NFL Odds reflect a tight contest. BUSR lists Baltimore as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 50, leaning toward the Ravens’ home dominance and Detroit’s defensive vulnerabilities. However, both historical data and current NFL betting trends highlight reasons to back the Lions.
Detroit has covered in 10 of its last 12 games as an underdog, often winning outright. They have covered seven straight Week 3 games and thrive against AFC opponents, winning seven of their last eight. Goff’s efficiency, St. Brown’s red-zone dominance, and Montgomery’s consistency make them dangerous in this role.
Baltimore remains formidable at home, winning eight of nine at M&T Bank Stadium, and Jackson has been in elite form. His connection with Hopkins and Flowers, combined with Henry’s ability to grind down defenses, makes the Ravens a complete offensive threat. Yet the defense remains inconsistent, allowing over 400 yards per game, and the spread history at home following wins is troubling. While Jackson’s dual-threat ability provides the edge, the number leaves value with the visiting team.
Total points trends lean slightly to the over, with six of Baltimore’s last seven against NFC opponents surpassing the number, and four of Detroit’s last five following a win also going over. Both teams possess firepower, and with Henry and Gibbs capable of producing chunk plays, scoring opportunities should be plentiful.
The final call comes down to market value. Baltimore may be the better team at home, but Detroit’s track record as an underdog and its balanced offense give it the edge against the number. Expect a competitive primetime battle where the Ravens lean on Jackson and Henry, but the Lions’ passing efficiency keeps them within reach.
Suggested Play: Detroit Lions +4.5 at BUSR, lean over 50.
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