Thursday Night Football Odds: Another Big Night for Josh Allen

NFL
September 22, 2025

Josh Allen and Defense Seal Bills’ Victory Over Slumping Dolphins on Thursday Night Football

 

Josh Allen and Defense Seal Bills' Victory Over Slumping Dolphins. Bet on NFL with BUSR and get 100% welcome bonus up to $1.500

Buffalo strengthens its dominance with a 31-21 win over Miami, leaving the Dolphins in a troubling 0-3 start to the season.

The Buffalo Bills once again showed their dominance in the AFC East with a 31-21 win over the Miami Dolphins on Thursday Night Football, led by a strong performance from quarterback Josh Allen, who threw three touchdown passes. This win not only keeps the Bills undefeated at 3-0 but also extends their winning streak to seven straight games against the Dolphins, including playoffs.

Allen completed 22 of 28 passes for 213 yards and now holds a personal 14-2 record against Miami, with 43 touchdown passes in those matchups. Once again, he proves to be one of the most reliable quarterbacks for bettors looking for safe plays when checking NFL Odds each week.

 

James Cook: A Rushing Force

 

But Allen wasn’t the only star. Running back James Cook racked up 108 rushing yards and scored a touchdown that gave the Bills a key lead early in the third quarter. Cook continues to be a critical piece of Buffalo’s ground game and is gaining attention in NFL Betting for player props, becoming a valuable pick for bettors seeking rushing stats and touchdown bets.

 

A Defense That Delivered at the Right Time

 

While the Buffalo defense had trouble stopping Miami on third down (allowing 10 conversions on 15 attempts), they stepped up when it mattered most. With three minutes left and the score 28-21, the Dolphins had the ball inside the red zone, threatening to tie the game.

That’s when Terrel Bernard intercepted a pass from Tua Tagovailoa intended for Jaylen Waddle — the game’s only turnover. This key play sealed the victory and showed that the Bills’ defense can still come through in crunch time.

 

Costly Mistakes for Miami

 

On the Miami Dolphins’ side, penalties and lack of discipline continued to hurt. Head coach Mike McDaniel’s squad committed several crucial errors, including a roughing the punter penalty in the fourth quarter that kept a Bills drive alive — one that ended in a touchdown.

Frustration is growing in Miami, now sitting at a worrying 0-3 record and having lost 14 of their last 15 matchups against Buffalo. This losing streak is starting to reflect in betting markets as well, where NFL Odds are moving away from Miami as a favorite in upcoming games.

 

Tua Struggles Under Pressure

 

Tagovailoa completed 23 of 34 passes for just 146 yards, with two touchdowns and one interception. While he managed to connect with his top targets — Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle — his critical mistake in the final minutes reignited concerns about his performance in high-pressure moments.

Tua has seen his position drop in NFL Odds for MVP, while Josh Allen continues climbing among the favorites.

 

Key Moments of the Game

 

  • 1st Quarter: Miami scored first with a Tua-to-Waddle touchdown, but the Bills answered with two straight scores, including the first career TD by rookie Jackson Hawes.
  • 2nd Quarter: Matt Prater missed a 39-yard field goal, but the Bills maintained their 14-7 lead heading into halftime.
  • 3rd Quarter: Cook scored on the ground to make it 21-14. Miami responded with a 2-yard rushing TD by Ollie Gordon, tying the game.
  • 4th Quarter: A roughing the punter penalty gave Buffalo new life. Allen then found Khalil Shakir for the go-ahead touchdown, and Bernard’s interception sealed the game. Prater added a 48-yard field goal to close it out 31-21.

 

Heat Rises on McDaniel in Miami

 

With this 0-3 start, the Dolphins match their worst season opening since 2019, and Mike McDaniel’s future is now in question. Despite playoff appearances in his first two seasons, the team has gone 8-13 since their wild-card loss to Kansas City in 2023.

The Dolphins face the New York Jets on Monday night, September 29 — a must-win game that will also impact how NFL Betting view their postseason chances.

 

Bills Cement Themselves as Contenders

 

Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills continue to prove they are legitimate Super Bowl contenders. With a balanced offense, a clutch-performing defense, and an elite quarterback in Allen, the team’s NFL Odds to win the Super Bowl are improving week by week.

Their next test will be on Saturday, September 28, at home against the New Orleans Saints, and bettors are already watching the lines closely.

 

How NFL Odds Shifted After This Game

 

Oddsmakers responded quickly to this result:

  • Bills: Their odds to win the AFC East improved, and they’re now among the top 3 favorites to win the AFC Championship.
  • Josh Allen: Moved up in the NFL Odds for MVP, now firmly in the top 5.
  • Dolphins: Their playoff odds are falling fast, and McDaniel is now listed among the potential first coaches to be fired this season.
  • Next Week’s Games: The Bills open as 6.5-point favorites against the Saints. The Dolphins are slight underdogs against the Jets in what may be a pivotal game.

 

Final Take: It’s the Bills’ Time

 

With the right mix of talent, experience, and focus, the Buffalo Bills are making the most of their opportunities. This win over Miami not only strengthens their position in the division but also sends a clear message to the rest of the NFL.

For bettors, Buffalo is becoming a goldmine of value across the board — from game spreads to player props, and especially in long-term NFL Betting for the playoffs and Super Bowl. When Josh Allen is playing at this level, he tends to play in your favor.

Looking to ride the momentum? Don’t take your eyes off the Bills in upcoming games. Because when Allen’s in command, it’s not just Buffalo that wins — smart bettors do too.

 

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