BUSR Odds: NFL MVP 3 Underdogs for 2023 Season

As the anticipation for the 2023 NFL season begins to simmer, attention turns to potential Most Valuable Player (MVP) candidates. While household names and established stars generally dominate the conversation, let’s veer off the beaten path and explore three unconventional but promising prospects. Based on the NFL Odds from BUSR, we have three quarterbacks who could potentially defy expectations and prove to be formidable contenders for the coveted MVP crown – Justin Fields of the Chicago Bears, Tua Tagovailoa of the Miami Dolphins, and Russell Wilson of the Denver Broncos.


Tua Tagovailoa, QB for Miami Dolphins (+2000)

Miami DolphinsTua Tagovailoa has the highest-rated qualified passer of the previous season, yet his odds don’t reflect that. Most likely, it’s due to concerns about Tagovailoa’s durability. The Dolphins’ quarterback had multiple concussions in 2022, missing significant parts of the season. Yet, indications suggest that he is bouncing back. Dolphins’ head coach McDaniel commented, “He’s doing great. He’s had a successful offseason and is ready to take on what’s next.” With an injury-free season and weapons like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, Tagovailoa might surprise everyone by clinching his first MVP award and leading the Dolphins to the top spot in the AFC. Crazier things have happened and a +2000 bet seems like a great one to take for such a great talent as Tua.


Justin Fields, QB for Chicago Bears (+2300)

Chicago BearsThe sentiment here is simple: Think of the possibilities if Justin Fields evolves into a top-tier passer. Fields, the 2021 No. 11 overall pick, was a surprising contender for the MVP title in 2022, despite his 60.4 percent completion percentage. His 1,143 rushing yards and eight touchdowns made him an unparalleled offensive asset in the NFL. Despite his impressive performance, the Bears couldn’t succeed, primarily due to the lack of an adequate supporting team and defensive help for Fields. However, imagine what could happen if he hones his throwing skills in his third season. Remember Lamar Jackson faced a similar challenge before his 2019 MVP season? Given Fields’ noticeable improvement in passer rating from 74.6 to 93.1 during 2022, and the addition of teammates like DJ Moore, Nate Davis, Darnell Wright, Tremaine Edmunds, DeMarcus Walker, and T.J. Edwards, it’s feasible that he could rise to the occasion. The NFC North in 2023 might be up for grabs, presenting Fields with the opportunity to capture the MVP title through stellar performance and significant growth as a passer, as everything suggests will happen.


Russell Wilson, QB for Denver Broncos (+4200)

Denver BroncosWe are Russell Wilson believers and those odds are indeed intriguing. Russell Wilson’s inaugural season with the Denver Broncos was far from promising, but it could simply have been a rough start due to adjusting to a new team, issues off the field, and coping with the lack of support from the short-termed head coach Nathaniel Hackett. Now with another full offseason under his belt, and Hackett being replaced by the experienced and successful Sean Payton, Wilson has the chance to prove that he still got it, and earn you some money while he does it. Can he, along with Payton, Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, and a sturdy offensive line, propel the Broncos past the Chiefs and the Chargers in the heavily contested AFC West? It seems like a long shot, but considering the proven success of Wilson and Payton, it’s not beyond the realms of possibility. It would indeed be foolhardy to disregard Wilson just yet. History has taught us that the NFL Lines often deliver the unexpected.