MLB Odds: Five “Market-Shaker” Trades for the end of July

MLBNEWS
July 14, 2025

Five Blockbuster Trades That Could Shift the MLB Odds Before the Deadline

 

The Trade Market is heating up ahead of July 31

 

Major League Baseball is entering a critical phase. Just weeks away from the trade deadline (July 31), contending teams are in hunting mode, searching for that key player to push them straight to a championship. And of course, bettors are watching closely, because every move can dramatically shift the MLB Odds.

In a season where nearly every team believes it has a shot—thanks to the new expanded playoff format—there are more buyers than sellers. That means any significant move could tip the balance, and for those who bet on baseball, staying one step ahead can make all the difference.

Here are five blockbuster trades that could shake up the market and drastically alter the MLB Lines heading into the postseason push.

 

Mitch Keller and Ke’Bryan Hayes to the Yankees: Full reinforcement in New York

 

The Pittsburgh Pirates face a dilemma: Mitch Keller is their best pitcher, but also their most valuable trade chip. And with a hefty contract that team owner Bob Nutting isn’t excited about, the possibility of trading him is gaining momentum. If they package Ke’Bryan Hayes, they could receive a strong return of young talent while also clearing salary space.

The New York Yankees, on the other hand, are in desperate need of starting pitching, especially after losing Clarke Schmidt to injury. Keller would bring much-needed stability, while Hayes, though not a powerful hitter, is one of the best defensive players in the league and would fit perfectly into a team that’s struggled with fundamentals.

 What does this mean for betting? A trade like this would strengthen the Yankees in two key areas and could lower their MLB Betting odds to win the American League—or even the World Series—making them a more attractive pick for bettors.

 

Edward Cabrera to Toronto: Blue Jays gear up for a serious run

 

The Toronto Blue Jays have shown they’re serious contenders in the AL, but their pitching staff has been their weak point, with a team ERA ranking 21st in the league.

That’s where Edward Cabrera comes in. The Miami Marlins pitcher is having a stellar season. While he won’t come cheap, his arrival could solidify a rotation that urgently needs a reliable arm.

 From an MLB Odds perspective, this trade would make Toronto an even stronger candidate in the AL East. For bettors tracking trends and seeking value, this move would be crucial for adjusting their picks.

 

Eugenio Suárez to Seattle: Power boost for the Mariners

 

The Seattle Mariners are fighting for a playoff spot, but their offense—especially at the corner infield positions—has been disappointing. That’s where Eugenio Suárez comes in. With 29 home runs this season, he would bring immediate impact to the lineup.

He would also protect star hitter Cal Raleigh, potentially leading to more runs scored and a more dangerous offense.

A move like this could have a direct impact on the MLB Lines for Seattle, elevating them from a fringe Wild Card team to a true contender. Smart bettors often spot these offensive upgrades and capitalize before the odds shift.

 

Griffin Jax to the Phillies: Urgent bullpen reinforcement

 

The Philadelphia Phillies have had a strong season in many areas, but their bullpen remains a significant concern. If they don’t fix it soon, all their hard work could be for nothing.

Griffin Jax, one of the best relievers in MLB, could be the answer. While the Minnesota Twins don’t usually let go of top talent easily, now might be the ideal time to sell high.

If Jax joins the Phillies, the MLB Betting Odds for the Phillies to win the National League would improve. A solid bullpen is often the difference in the playoffs between advancing and going home early, and bettors know it.

 

Seth Lugo to the Cubs: Chicago’s secret weapon

 

The Chicago Cubs made a big bet earlier in the season by acquiring Kyle Tucker, even knowing he might only be a one-year rental. Now they need to take the next step and reinforce their rotation with someone like Seth Lugo.

Lugo has had a standout season and holds a $15 million player option for the 2026 season. For the Cubs, that’s a reasonable price. With him in the rotation, the team becomes a lot more dangerous.

 For long-term bettors, the MLB Odds for Chicago would improve with this acquisition. Adding Lugo could turn their pitching staff into one of the league’s best, making them a much more attractive betting option.

 

What does this mean for bettors?

 

Each of these potential trades could directly impact MLB Lines, and that’s precisely where sharp bettors can find value. It’s not just about who wins or loses a trade, but about how the league landscape changes.

Last-minute moves before the trade deadline cause immediate shifts in sportsbook lines. That’s why it’s crucial to track rumors, evaluate each player’s potential impact, and get ahead of the market adjustments.

 

Here are a few quick tips:

 

Follow the rumors: Trade news often leaks before becoming official. Staying informed can give you a betting edge with better odds.

  • Check the stats: A player like Keller or Lugo can transform an entire pitching staff.
  • Bet with the playoffs in mind: Some moves may not make an immediate splash, but they’ll pay off big in October. That’s where MLB Betting can offer the most long-term value.

 

Big days ahead

 

The MLB trade deadline is one of the most exciting times of the season, not just for fans but also for bettors. The teams that make smart moves will not only improve on the field but also become more appealing in betting markets.

 

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