MLB Betting News: The Judge Return

MLB
August 18, 2025

The Captain’s Return Could Change the Team’s Momentum… and Betting Markets

 

The New York Yankees have received a much-needed boost at just the right time. Aaron Judge—New York’s captain and key bat—may make his comeback on Tuesday, having been out with a right elbow injury. For fans, this is a breath of fresh air. For bettors, it’s a golden opportunity to take advantage of shifting MLB betting odds, which will undoubtedly change if the slugger returns in good form.

A Scare That Shook the Bronx. Judge was added to the 10-day injured roster on July 27 because of a strain in his right elbow flexor, a situation that caused concern among both supporters and the coaching team. The injury occurred during a game on July 22 against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he made a powerful throw from right field. Soon after, he appeared visibly uncomfortable, and an MRI revealed the need for rest.

However, the diagnosis was encouraging: no acute damage to the ulnar collateral ligament, and Judge received a platelet-rich plasma injection. The plan was clear—rest, treatment, and a gradual return.

Over the weekend, Judge began batting against minor league pitchers at the Yankees’ training complex in Tampa, Florida. On Monday, he was expected to join the team in Texas, where the Yankees are playing a crucial series against the Rangers.

 

Manager Aaron Boone was cautious but optimistic.

 

If Judge returns this week, he’ll likely do so as the designated hitter, reducing the risk of aggravating the injury. However, Boone also hinted that Judge may resume throwing in the coming days, which could signal a return to his usual role in right field.

 

 Why Is Aaron Judge So Important?

 

Before the injury, Aaron Judge was having another outstanding season. In 103 games and 377 at-bats, he had achieved:

  • Batting average: .342 (best in MLB at the time)
  • 37 home runs (4th in the league)
  • 85 RBIs (5th in MLB)

These numbers not only drive team performance but also significantly affect MLB Lines in every game he plays. When Judge is on the field, the scales tip clearly in the Yankees’ favor—both in offense and leadership.

 

How Are the Yankees Without  Judge?

 

The timing of the Judge’s injury couldn’t have been worse. The Yankees were already on a rocky stretch, and without their captain, results worsened. As of Sunday, the team held a 60–51 record and ranked third in the American League East, trailing behind.

  • Boston Red Sox (62–51)
  • Toronto Blue Jays (65–47)

They had also lost six of their last ten games, including a painful 13–12 home loss to the Marlins. That inconsistency has affected the team’s MLB betting odds, which have fluctuated week to week.

Without Judge, the Yankees lost their power bat, clubhouse leadership, and offensive anchor. His return could be precisely what they need to get back in the division race—and bettors know it.

 

 Betting Impact: MLB Odds Heating Up

 

Judge’s possible return this Tuesday isn’t just exciting for fans. It’s a key variable for sports bettors, who are closely tracking his physical condition and any official announcement.

MLB Odds typically shift dramatically when a superstar like Judge returns. His presence changes the team’s entire offensive dynamic, which directly translates into:

  • Better moneylines for the Yankees as favorites
  • Higher over/under totals (more expected runs)
  • More individual betting options, like home runs, hits, or RBIs

For example, if the Yankees were listed at +120 against Texas before the news, Judge’s return could tighten that line to -105 or even -120. For bettors who act early and anticipate his comeback, this creates a clear strategic edge.

 

What Should Bettors Consider?

 

Here are some key points to correctly interpret the MLB Lines  in this situation:

1. Designated Hitter Role

Judge won’t immediately return to right field, which limits his defensive value. Still, his mere presence at the plate is a constant threat. Opposing pitchers will be forced to change their approach, which often benefits the rest of the lineup.

2. Risk of Reinjury

While the injury wasn’t serious, the Yankees will be cautious. Boone may rest Judge intermittently or remove him from games early. This could impact prop bets, like total hits or bases.

3. Upcoming Schedule

The next series will be decisive. The Yankees face Texas, a high-scoring rival, followed by matchups against the Astros and Rays. These high-stakes games make MLB betting even more dynamic—especially in live betting markets.

 

Domino Effect: Can the Yankees Bounce Back?

 

With Judge back, the Yankees could start a hot streak in the second half of the season. That could help them regain ground in the division and improve their chances of making the playoffs.

In terms of MLB futures odds, the situation is crystal clear:

  • Before the injury, the Yankees were among the top favorites to win the American League.
  • After his absence, they slipped behind teams like the Astros, Orioles, and Mariners.
  • His return could cause an immediate boost in their odds, especially if he hits early home runs.

For bettors looking at long-term bets, this may be the perfect moment to invest in the Yankees before the MLB Odds rise again with a winning run.

 

Time to Stay Alert… and Bet Smart

 

Aaron Judge’s potential return this Tuesday could be a turning point in the Yankees’ season. But it could also be a massive opportunity for those closely following MLB Lines and looking for an edge in the market.

Whether you prefer game-by-game bets, individual player props, or season futures, one thing is sure: Judge is a game-changer. His return should be carefully analyzed by anyone involved in sports betting.

 

Final Tip

 

If you’re planning to bet on Yankees games this week, do it before the official announcement if you believe Judge will play. Because once it’s confirmed, the MLB Betting odds will shift… and so will your potential payout.

 

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