UFC 318 Odds: Complete Fight Card Betting Analysis

MMA/UFCNEWS
July 10, 2025

UFC 318 Odds Showcase: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 and Best Fights to Bet

 

Fight Night Overview: UFC 318 at Smoothie King Center

 

UFC 318 is scheduled for Saturday, July 19, 2025, at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana, marking the UFC’s return to the city since 2015. Want to catch all the action as it unfolds? Sign up now, make your first deposit, and stream UFC 318 live directly through our streaming platform. Prelims start at 6:00 PM ET, and the main card begins at 10:00 PM ET. Headlining this card is the highly anticipated trilogy clash between Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier for the symbolic “BMF” title, in Poirier’s hometown and final UFC bout.

 

Main Card Breakdown: Key UFC 318 Matchups

 

The UFC 318 lineup includes several high-stakes bouts across weight classes. While some fans have criticized the card’s depth, others highlight the significance of Poirier’s farewell and key contender bouts for UFC betting value seekers.

 

Max Holloway vs. Dustin Poirier III — BMF Title, Trilogy & Poirier’s Retirement

Holloway and Poirier meet for the third time, as Poirier’s final UFC fight night, and Holloway defends his BMF belt. Their rivalry began with UFC 143 (submission win for Poirier) and continued at UFC 236 (Poirier decision win).

Holloway (26‑8) comes off a knockout win over Justin Gaethje, while Poirier (30‑9) seeks to cap his career with redemption at home. For UFC betting, this main event offers props on finishing methods, rounds, and career‑farewell volatility.

 

Paulo Costa vs. Roman Kopylov — Middleweight Co‑Main Event

Costa, the former title challenger, faces dangerous submission specialist Kopylov in a bout originally slated for UFC 317 but moved to this card. This clash impacts Middleweight rankings and presents solid value in betting markets if Costa can succeed or if the underdog surprises.

 

Kevin Holland vs. Daniel Rodriguez — Welterweight Fireworks

Built on rivalry and action, this welterweight pairing should deliver high pace and finish potential. Holland’s unpredictable style versus Rodriguez’s boxing precision provides strong betting angles, especially on round prop bets.

 

Dan Ige vs. Patricio “Pitbull” Freire — Featherweight Bout

Bellator great Patricio Pitbull debuts in the UFC against Dan Ige. Pitbull aims for his first UFC win, while Ige seeks validation. Expect tactical striking and MMA richness, good propositions, and value lines for featherweight bettors.

 

Michael Johnson vs. Daniel Zellhuber — Lightweight Scramble

Catchweight lightweight bout launching the pay-per-view. Johnson, a veteran finisher, faces rising prospect Zellhuber. This fight sets the tone for the night and is a live in-play candidate for bettors eyeing early action.

 

Other Notable Bouts on the Card:

  • Brendan Allen vs. Marvin Vettori — Middleweight clash between two top-ten contenders.
  • Ikram Aliskerov vs. Jackson McVey — Middleweight replacement bout after Aliskerov reportedly withdrew.
  • Adam Fugitt vs. Islam Dulatov — Welterweight matchup rescheduled from a previous event.
  • Neil Magny vs. TBD — Originally matched with Gunnar Nelson, who withdrew due to injury; opponent pending or fight scrapped.

UFC 318: BMF Title Main Event Preview

 

Max Holloway

Former UFC Featherweight Champion, 26‑8, known for precise striking, cardio, and pressure; recently KO’d Gaethje at UFC 300. Holy points: persistence and knockout power in later rounds. His BUSR Odds are -121.

Dustin Poirier

Veteran 30‑9 record, former interim Lightweight Champion. Poirier aims to go out on his terms in New Orleans. Known for his leg kicks and pace, his emotional moments may fuel him, but also put pressure on him, and improve his BUSR odds for the weekend on -105.

This trilogy bout is tight in UFC betting lines. Hardcore fans should consider prop bets, including total strikes, leg kicks, submission attempts, and method of victory, which are critical in a career finale.

 

UFC 318 Odds Snapshot (BUSR Moneyline)

Currently, BUSR odds reflect a focus on trilogy narratives and local hero emotion:

  • Holloway vs. Poirier: Poirier is a slight underdog (-121 to -105) in his hometown, with Holloway favored.
  • Costa (+204) vs. Kopylov (+275): Competitive middleweight odds
  • Holland (-380) vs. Rodriguez (+270) and Ige (-165) vs. Pitbull (+129): Tight lines; bettors seeking upside via live action and rounds

For more precise odds and movement, stick to our UFC Lines page post-finalized line release.

 

UFC 318 Betting Angles & Value Plays

  • Win/Winner bets: Poirier underdog appeal in his final fight and hometown pressure. Costa upside vs. ranking stakes.
  • Props: Round-by-round finishes, over/under total strikes, sub attempts. E.g., Poirier retires inside distance, or Ige in the knockout round.
  • Live betting: Early fights, such as Holland vs. Rodriguez and Johnson vs. Zellhuber, offer reactive opportunities during the fight.
  • Future bets: Pitbull’s UFC debut and Allen vs. Vettori implications for title contention lines.

Fans and analysts have voiced disappointment over the card’s supporting bouts, with some labeling it among the weakest PPVs due to underwhelming undercard depth. Yet, Poirier’s sentimental farewell and trilogy intrigue deliver marquee value. Dana White emphasized that the card was constructed “for him”—Poirier—highlighting his legacy and hometown send-off significance.

 

UFC 318: A Farewell to Remember

 

Though the PPV card may draw criticism, the emotional gravity surrounding Dustin Poirier’s final fight, the BMF title trilogy, and marquee middleweight and welterweight matchups offer enough intrigue for bettors and fans alike. UFC 318 odds provide key betting angles across main event props and challenger bout value.

For those focused on intelligent UFC betting, early props and live round lines hold most value. Whether betting on a statement performance from Holloway or an emotional finish for Poirier, there’s an opportunity. Stay sharp on undercard action, such as Allen vs. Vettori or Holland vs. Rodriguez, as momentum indicators.

 

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