Odds To Win the World Series After the Trade Deadline

MLB
August 12, 2025

After the Trade Deadline: Who Will Win the World Series? Here Are the Favorites According to the New MLB Odds

 

Dodgers, Mets, Yankees, and Phillies emerge as top contenders after July 31 trades

 

With the 2025 MLB trade deadline now in the rearview mirror, the season enters its most decisive stretch. July 31 marked the final day teams could strengthen their rosters for a potential postseason push—and it didn’t disappoint. Several contenders made strategic moves that not only boosted their chances on the field but also significantly impacted the MLB Odds for the World Series.

This year, the most aggressive teams at the deadline included the San Diego Padres, New York Mets, New York Yankees, Philadelphia Phillies, Seattle Mariners, and Houston Astros—all of whom added key talent and now stand among the top favorites to raise the trophy in October.

 

Which Moves Tipped the Scales?

 

The trade deadline was a real race against time for many front offices. The urgency to patch roster holes was evident, and several general managers acted swiftly and boldly to finalize last-minute deals.

The Dodgers, the defending champions, added two experienced relievers and a versatile outfielder. Their bullpen had been a concern, but now looks much stronger heading into October. These moves helped the Dodgers maintain their top spot in the MLB Lines, now sitting at +250.

The Mets and Phillies, direct rivals in the ultra-competitive NL East, made significant moves to keep pace with each other. Both teams added quality starting pitchers and position players who could be decisive in October.

The Yankees also made smart acquisitions. While they didn’t make huge splashes, their additions aim to improve clutch hitting and defense—two areas where they’ve struggled with consistency.

 

Padres: From Uncertainty to Contender in a Single Afternoon

 

The San Diego Padres were seen as a talented but unpredictable team. Before the deadline, their odds to win the World Series sat at +3500—a sign that sportsbooks didn’t view them as serious contenders.

That changed dramatically when the Padres’ front office went all-in, landing two crucial pieces:

  • Mason Miller is one of the hardest-throwing, high-upside young pitchers in baseball.
  • JP Sears is a reliable left-handed starter with control and postseason-ready stuff.
  • In exchange, they gave up one of their top prospects—proving their intentions were clear: win now.

 

Astros Bring Back Carlos Correa: The Missing Piece?

 

In one of the trade deadline’s blockbuster moves, the Houston Astros pulled off a deal with the Minnesota Twins to reacquire shortstop Carlos Correa, one of the most beloved and clutch players in their recent history.

Although Correa has struggled with injuries in recent seasons, his return to Houston could be just the spark the team needed. The Astros already lead the AL West and own the third-best record in all of MLB.

 

New MLB Odds After the Trade Deadline

 

The July 31 trades had a significant effect on the MLB Odds for the 2025 World Series. Here are the updated favorites according to BUSR experts:

Top 10 Favorites to Win the 2025 World Series

Los Angeles Dodgers (+250)

 New York Mets (+850)

New York Yankees (+850)

Philadelphia Phillies (+850)

Detroit Tigers (+950)

Houston Astros (+1100)

Chicago Cubs (+1200)

Toronto Blue Jays (+1500)

San Diego Padres (+1700)

Seattle Mariners (+1800)

Milwaukee Brewers (+1800)

 

Biggest Winners After the Trade Deadline

 

Dodgers: Still the Team to Beat

The updated MLB Lines confirm it—Los Angeles remains the clear favorite. Their postseason experience and deep roster make them dangerous in any matchup. Their bullpen was a weakness, but the two arms added at the deadline now make them nearly complete.

Mets and Phillies: Upgrades with Payoff Potential

Both NL East teams went big. The Mets added an All-Star starting pitcher and a powerful left-handed bat, improving their offense against righties. The Phillies, meanwhile, added speed and defense—two key ingredients in tight postseason battles. These moves bumped both teams’ MLB Betting up, matching the Yankees for the second-best odds at +850.

 

And What About the Teams That Stayed Quiet?

While some teams made bold moves, others chose to stand pat or focus on the future. That approach—or lack of one—is also reflected in the MLB Odds:

  • Atlanta Braves (+100000): One of the biggest surprises. Despite young talent, their lack of moves pushed them to the bottom of the rankings.
  • San Francisco Giants & Tampa Bay Rays (+15000): Minimal trade activity means lower expectations from oddsmakers.
  • Chicago White Sox y Colorado Rockies (+200000).  These odds suggest a miracle would be needed—but big payouts await bold bettors if the impossible happens.

 

Smart Bettors Know: The Value Is in the Details

If you’re looking to take advantage of the changing MLB Lines, now is the perfect time to spot value.

Here are some tips for betting wisely:

  • Chase momentum: Teams like the Phillies that are trending up with fresh reinforcements may still offer odds that don’t reflect their actual ceiling.
  • Check the schedule: A soft August schedule could help a mid-tier team climb quickly—before their odds shorten.
  • Bet futures now: With MLB Betting freshly adjusted, locking in long-term bets now could maximize your return before more changes come.

 

Don’t Sleep on Detroit and Houston

 

They may not be top-three favorites, but both Detroit (+950) and Houston (+1100) made significant moves, showing they’re ready to compete.

The Tigers continue to be one of the surprises of the season, with a confident, young roster that isn’t backing down.

The Astros, thanks to their deadline activity and Correa’s return, have improved their odds and remain firmly in the title conversation.

 

Long Shots With Real Upside

 

For bettors who like big rewards with high risk, a few teams offer intriguing possibilities:

Boston Red Sox (+2500): Not their best year, but a strong finish and some October magic could shock the world.

Seattle Mariners and Milwaukee Brewers (+1800): Both teams boast impressive pitching staffs, which is crucial for success during the October playoffs.

Cincinnati Reds (+8000): A young, energetic team. A hot streak could drastically change their odds in weeks.

 

The 2025 World Series Race Is Wide Open—And More Exciting Than Ever

 

This year’s trade deadline didn’t just reshape the playoff picture—it redefined the MLB Odds landscape. Updated lines now reflect each team’s strategy and readiness for the final push.

For bettors, now is the time to think strategically. Analyze each team’s upgrades, study the remaining schedule, and take advantage of favorable odds before they shift again.

October is just around the corner… and with the correct bet, you could turn baseball strategy into serious winnings.

 

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