Kentucky Derby Contender Profile: Publisher

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Kentucky Derby Contender Profile

Publisher: Longshot Maiden Seeks History at Churchill Downs

Horse Racing Betting fans always expect surprises at the Kentucky Derby, and this year, Publisher brings an unusual storyline. Despite having no career wins, he qualified for the 151st Run for the Roses. 

While his name is far down in the current Kentucky Derby odds, he is part of an elite few maidens who have dared to take on this historic challenge. Those planning their Kentucky Derby betting strategies should consider whether this unlikely underdog deserves a spot in their exotic wagers.

It has been 92 years since a maiden captured the Kentucky Derby, but Publisher will attempt to break that drought and become the first to do so since Brokers Tip in 1933.

Trained by Steve Asmussen and ridden by top jockey Irad Ortiz Jr., this son of American Pharoah and Indian Pride enters the race with a record of 0 wins, 2 seconds, and 3 thirds in 7 starts. 

Breeding and Team Experience

Publisher is bred for the big stage. His sire, American Pharoah, swept the 2015 Triple Crown with dominance, though his offspring have mostly excelled on turf. His dam, Indian Pride, adds durability to the pedigree, being a daughter of Proud Citizen, who placed in both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness.

Jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. brings plenty of experience, even though he is still seeking his first Derby win after eight tries. His best result was a fourth-place finish aboard Improbable in 2019. Meanwhile, trainer Steve Asmussen holds the dubious distinction of most Derby starters (26) without a win, with second-place finishes by Nehro, Lookin At Lee, and Epicenter among his closest calls.

Racing History and Progress

Publisher’s racing journey began modestly with four consecutive placings in maiden company. Asmussen then tested him against tougher competition, where he finished sixth in the Southwest Stakes (G3) and fourth in the Rebel Stakes (G2).

The colt took a step forward in the Arkansas Derby (G1) at Oaklawn Park. With jockey Flavien Prat aboard, he rallied from off the pace to finish second behind Sandman, posting his career-best speed figure. This performance, over 1 1/8 miles, earned him enough points to secure a spot in the Derby starting gate.

Kentucky Derby Betting Outlook

At +2000 in the Derby Futures, Publisher will likely be one of the longest shots on the board. His lack of a career win makes him a hard sell for win bets, and even most superfecta tickets may find better value elsewhere. While history shows maidens rarely fare well in the Derby, Publisher’s late-running style could help him pick up tired horses if the pace collapses.

Overall, Publisher adds a fun storyline to this year’s race but remains a tough sell for serious bettors. For updated Kentucky Derby odds, expert analysis, and complete wagering options, be sure to visit our racebook today.