UFC 320 Predictions, Official Odds, Ankalaev vs. Pereira, Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagen

MMA/UFC
October 3, 2025

The UFC returns to Las Vegas for UFC 320, a PPV event stacked with 14 bouts. Headlined by a light heavyweight title rematch, the card also features a bantamweight title fight in the co-main event. All fights take place in the 30-foot octagon at T-Mobile Arena. As bettors eye this event, analyzing MMA Odds, MMA Lines, and where to bet on MMA will be crucial.

Prelims begin at 3 p.m. PT, with featured bouts starting at 5 p.m. PT and the PPV main card at 7 p.m. PT. Many matchups offer interesting angles for both moneyline and prop betting.

 

Ankalaev vs Pereira 2: Light Heavyweight Championship (205 lbs)

For the rematch, Pereira is listed at +199 and Ankalaev at –135, with a total of O 3.5 / U 3.5 also posted. 

 

Tactical & Betting Breakdown

Ankalaev enters the rematch riding confidence after a convincing decision win in March. His style emphasizes pressure, clinch control, and grinding down the pace. While his striking isn’t elite, he uses kicks to manage distance and transitions to grappling when necessary. He will again be the shorter man, conceding reach, so his success depends on neutralizing Pereira’s range.

Pereira, famed for his elite kickboxing and Muay Thai, showed gaps in wrestling and takedown defense in their first fight. He appeared lethargic, likely due to travel and preparation constraints. For this rematch, he’s added training with Glover Teixeira to shore up those areas. But his path to victory demands he stay on the outside, land power shots, and avoid being dragged into scrambles.

 

The total set at 3.5 rounds suggests the market anticipates a fight that can stretch into the championship distance. Given their first bout went 2.4 rounds, this is an expectation of a longer matchup.

When reading MMA Odds and MMA Lines here, the line movement toward Ankalaev shows consensus confidence in his adjustments. Pereira’s value as a live underdog and his finishing potential remain worth consideration, particularly if the fight starts hot.

 

Dvalishvili vs Sandhagen: Bantamweight Championship (135 lbs)

The bantamweight title fight features Dvalishvili at –350 and Sandhagen at +290, with total lines of O 4.5 / U 4.5. 

 

Styles, Strategy & Betting Logic

Dvalishvili is legendary for his cardio, relentless pace, and wrestling output. He holds the UFC record for takedowns, averaging 5.84 takedowns per 15 minutes. He’s built for war, pressuring opponents into exhaustion or ground dominance.

Sandhagen, by contrast, is tall, long, and diverse. He mixes striking with grappling, though his takedown defense (62%) is suspect. His reach, agility, and kick-centric offense allow him to manage space well. If he keeps the fight upright, he poses a significant danger.

 

For bettors using MMA Lines, the total at 4.5 rounds signals expectations for a drawn-out war. Dvalishvili should dominate control time, making over 4.5 a viable bet. But Sandhagen’s ability to land highlight shots means underdog value exists in his line, especially early in the fight.

 

Card Context & Additional Odds

UFC 320’s fight card includes several additional matchups with odds:

  • Jiri Prochazka –182 vs Khalil Rountree Jr. +150
  • Youssef Zalal –430 vs Josh Emmett +330
  • Joe Pyfer –240 vs Abus Magomedov +200
  • Edmen Shahbazyan –275 vs Andre Muniz +225

These supporting fights add depth to prop betting and offer lighter liability betting opportunities. When combing MMA Odds, those mid-card bouts can often carry value unnoticed by casual bettors.

 

UFC 320 Betting Strategy & Best Value Plays

Ankalaev Rematch Edge: With the line favoring him, Ankalaev offers safer value if you expect a similar performance. The total of 3.5 rounds also appeals to overs or round-range props given both men’s durability.

Dvalishvili Control, Over 4.5: His wrestling style makes over 4.5 rounds a logical play, especially if he secures early control and grinds. While his moneyline odds are steep, bettors may explore live + prop lines (e.g. performance by decision) for upside.

 

Underdog Upset Potential: Pereira’s power and Sandhagen’s length provide underdog intrigue. If either can catch the champion on their heels, late-round finishes become real. Watching early line movement and identifying overreaction to favorite hype is key for this kind of play.

Mid-Card Torque: The undercard odds for fighters like Prochazka, Zalal, and Pyfer suggest mid-tier value. Spotting stylistic mismatches there while paying attention to hook props or method-of-victory lines is smart.

 

Final Picks & Risk Management

  • Ankalaev vs Pereira 2: Ankalaev (–135) with possible over 3.5 rounds
  • Dvalishvili vs Sandhagen: Dvalishvili (–350) and over 4.5 rounds
  • Parlay: Ankalaev + Dvalishvili as safer combo
  • Live/Prop angles: Pereira by KO, Sandhagen by late KO or decision

Full Card Summary

Main Card

  • Magomed Ankalaev (-265) vs. Alex Pereira (+210) : Light Heavyweight Title
  • Merab Dvalishvili (-400) vs. Cory Sandhagen (+300) : Bantamweight Title
  • Jiří Procházka (-175) vs. Khalil Rountree Jr. (+145) : Light Heavyweight
  • Josh Emmett (+350) vs. Youssef Zalal (-500) : Featherweight
  • Abus Magomedov (+195) vs. Joe Pyfer (-240) : Middleweight

Prelims

  • Ateba Gautier (+1200) vs. Ozzy Diaz (+700) : Middleweight
  • Edmen Shahbazyan (-300) vs. Andre Muniz (+240) : Middleweight
  • Chris Gutierrez (+310) vs. Farid Basharat (-425) : Bantamweight
  • Daniel Zantos (-140) vs. JooSang Yoo (+120) : Featherweight

Early Prelims

  • Macy Chiasson (-180) vs. Yana Santos (+150) : Women’s Bantamweight
  • Patchy Mix (-265) vs. Jakub Wiklacz (+215) : Bantamweight
  • Punahele Soriano (-250) vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (+200) : Welterweight
  • Ramiz Brahimaj (+230) vs. Austin Vanderford (-280) : Welterweight
  • Veronica Hardy (-700) vs. Brogan Walker (+450) : Women’s Flyweight

 

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