NBA Odds, Picks and Predictions for October 29th

NBA

October 29, 2025

Best NBA Bets for Wednesday, October 29

The Wednesday slate brings national TV matchups and a deep menu for NBA Betting. We’re using only the information provided below and aligning recommendations with the latest NBA Odds at BUSR. This card focuses on concise edges you can act on now, with props and sides organized by game. Along the way, you’ll see how these picks also inform your longer-term NBA Futures reads.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics

Cleveland enters with a clear offensive focal point. Donovan Mitchell has a strong recent history against Boston, scoring 35, 35, 31, and 41 in last season’s meetings. He’s also started this season hot, logging 30+ in three of four games. Boston is playing at a slow pace, yet elite guards are still carving out big nights: Jalen Brunson (31), VJ Edgecombe (34), Tyrese Maxey (40), and Cade Cunningham (25) have all produced early against the Celtics.

With the Cavaliers shorthanded on the perimeter (no Sam Merrill), Mitchell’s usage path is clear. The matchup data aligns with how he scores, and the prior outputs against Boston reinforce the ceiling.

From an NBA Betting perspective, this is a volume plus role play that does not rely on pace to get home. It’s also a micro read that links to macro narratives in NBA Futures: as Mitchell drives Cleveland’s early scoring consistency, his impact on the Cavs’ seeding case remains material.

Best Bet: Donovan Mitchell Over 27.5 Points (-110)

NBA Prop Card Add-Ons:

Evan Mobley Over 31.5 PRA (-123)
Payton Pritchard Over 15.5 Points (-114)
Sam Hauser 3+ Made Threes (+101)

These secondary angles track with the matchup notes already observed this season. Mobley’s all-around line benefits from added touches when Cleveland trims guard depth, while Boston’s spacing pieces (Pritchard, Hauser) profile cleanly against drop coverages and nail help when Mitchell is attacking at volume.

Houston Rockets vs. Toronto Raptors

Toronto’s playmaking distribution changed with Brandon Ingram’s arrival. Barrett’s assists have slid from last season’s 5.4 per game on 9.1 potential assists and 45.2 passes per game to 3.0 assists on 4.8 potential assists and 39.8 passes per game this season. Removing the Atlanta outlier (138 team points, 36 assists), Barrett sits at 2.0 assists on 3.7 potential assists over the last three contests.

Houston compounds the under case. The Rockets allowed the third-fewest assists and the lowest assisted field goal rate last season. While this year’s sample is still forming, their personnel remain built to flatten passing lanes and force isolation outcomes. Against waves of defenders, Barrett’s likely shot mix tilts toward scoring rather than distribution. With NBA Odds aligning on a low threshold where the median projection falls short, the under is the sharper side.

Best Bets: RJ Barrett Under 3.5 Assists (-145), Rockets -5.5 (-110)

That spread sentiment pairs with the assists under logic. If Houston controls the game script, Toronto’s secondary creators have fewer high-value possessions to push Barrett over his number.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Brooklyn Nets

Claxton’s raw average might place this line correctly, but context pushes under. His minutes have fluctuated (23, 31, 26, 23), with foul trouble and blowouts both in play—two risk factors that remain relevant here. Michael Porter Jr. also trims Claxton’s board rate when they share the floor; the season-to-date drop is 1.3%. With Brooklyn’s rotation still in flux and Atlanta capable of creating pace spikes that trigger substitution chains, there are more under paths than over.

Best Bet: Nic Claxton Under 7.5 Rebounds (-130), Over 238.5 Total Points

That total read can coexist with the Claxton under. A faster game with multi-guard lineups often pushes wings into more rebounding chances and can cap center minutes when fouls and cross-matches stack up. From an NBA Betting perspective, it’s a correlated slate position rather than a direct hedge.

Sacramento Kings vs. Chicago Bulls

Dosunmu is averaging 16.7 points per game and has gone over 12.5 in all three. He’s playing around 27 minutes with a healthy 20% usage rate off the bench. The spot is ideal: Chicago faces a Kings defense that’s vulnerable and traveling on a road back-to-back off a tight loss in Oklahoma City. Bench scoring has been a pressure point against Sacramento; with the Bulls’ first unit drawing the initial coverage, Dosunmu’s on-ball chances against second groups remain strong.

This is a clean role-plus-matchup overlap. With NBA Odds holding this line at a number he’s already beaten, the over is supported by form, schedule, and opponent profile.

Best Bet: Ayo Dosunmu Over 12.5 Points (-120)

Indiana Pacers vs. Dallas Mavericks

Thompson is starting, but his minutes are capped at around 20. D’Angelo Russell has emerged as the heavier-minute guard off the bench lately, and even with Dante Exum out and Ryan Nembhard trimmed, Klay’s workload has held steady. Indiana’s defense under Rick Carlisle avoids heavy switching and squeezes assisted outcomes. The Pacers allowed the eighth-fewest assists and the third-lowest assisted field goal rate last season; they rank fifth and second in those metrics this season, respectively.

Dallas can skew bigger versus an Indiana backcourt that’s thinned by injuries, further limiting the assist environment for Thompson’s minutes. Plus money on a number aligned with role and scheme, this is a high-quality under.

Best Bet: Klay Thompson Under 1.5 Assists (+140)

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Denver Nuggets

This pick stems from a defined system: teams with poor recent ATS form, coming off another ATS loss, often see market overcorrections. In that window (game number 4-100, previous game ATS margin between -100 and -1.5, ATS win rate 0%–32%), the database shows a profitable, long-run correction toward the number. The public drifts away, the spread inflates, and the value shifts to the side the market has cooled on.

That is the Pelicans here. They meet the criteria and are profiled as undervalued in the short term. In NBA odds terms, you’re not buying the résumé; you’re buying the number. New Orleans +12.5 fits that approach.

Best Bet: Pelicans +12.5 (-110)

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

Without Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid’s usage climbs from 11.8% to 25.6%. His scoring rate jumps from 14.1 to 27.3 points per 100 possessions, while Donte DiVincenzo and Julius Randle remain relatively static in that split. Recent games support the move: Reid cleared this total with 16 and 18, and his prior nine-shot outing against the Lakers shows the volume is there even when he’s not finishing.

The matchup favors his hybrid big profile. Reid can space and also punish soft switches at the rim. With NBA Odds holding this at a mid-teens threshold, the over rides the usage wave and matchup leverage.

Best Bet: Naz Reid Over 13.5 Points (-103)

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns

This angle targets early-season games where a non-playoff team from last year faces a playoff opponent and enters as a dog or pick. Public weighting of the previous year’s hierarchy can inflate lines in favor of the playoff side, while the underdog benefits from a motivation and pricing lag. The parameters here are clear: no playoffs last year, opponent did; game number 1-6; moneyline between -1000 and +199; team is the dog or pick.

Phoenix fits the profile. In the first two weeks, teams in this bucket are often underpriced, and early returns tend to correct once rotations settle. With plus money on a home underdog (or short road dog) that matches the system, the value sits on the Suns.

Best Bet: Suns Moneyline (+110)

Additional Picks and Props from the card

– Hawks vs. Nets: Over 238.5 Total Points
– Rockets vs. Raptors: Rockets -5.5 (-110)
– Evan Mobley 13+ Assists + Rebounds (-126)
– Cade Cunningham Under 39.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-121)
– Jamal Murray 4+ Rebounds (-137)

Each of these aligns with role clarity and opponent tendencies observed in the early sample. In particular, the Mobley peripheral ladder fits Cleveland’s frontcourt usage when the guard rotation tightens. At the same time, Cunningham underperforms a high bar against a defense that can turn his touches into mid-range contests and late-clock kickouts.

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