College Football Week 14 Picks & Predictions: Ohio State–Michigan, Texas–Texas A&M Best Bets
College Football Week 14 brings Rivalry Week intensity, conference title implications, and the best betting value of the season. The spotlight is on Ohio State vs. Michigan, the return of the iconic Texas vs. Texas A&M showdown, plus several ranked matchups that will shape the College Football Playoff picture.
Below is your BUSR expert breakdown, including predictions, matchup angles, and betting edges for Saturday’s biggest games.
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Ohio State vs. Michigan – The Game
Prediction + Betting Breakdown
Michigan enters Week 14 with one of the most balanced rosters in the country — elite rushing efficiency, a top-tier defensive front, and a home-field advantage that has carried them through the most challenging stretches of the season.
Ohio State counters with playmakers like Marvin Harrison Jr. and TreVeyon Henderson, plus a defense that has quietly reached championship levels over the last month.
Key Betting Insights
- – Michigan is 9–2 ATS at home vs. ranked opponents since 2021.
- – Ohio State’s last 10 road games hit the UNDER in 8 of them.
- – Michigan’s interior run game is the biggest matchup edge on the field.
Final Prediction: Michigan 24, Ohio State 20
Best Bet: Michigan ML or Under 46.5
Texas vs. Texas A&M – Lone Star Showdown
The rivalry is back, and Kyle Field will be electric. Texas brings one of the most physical defensive fronts in the nation, while A&M has a disruptive pass rush that can frustrate even elite offenses.
Matchup Notes
- – Texas averages 35+ PPG with Quinn Ewers back healthy.
- – Texas A&M allows fewer than 100 rushing yards per game at home.
- – Six straight meetings in College Station have gone UNDER.
Final Prediction: Texas 31, Texas A&M 23
Best Bet: Texas -6.5 or Over 48.5
Alabama vs. Auburn – Iron Bowl Spotlight
Alabama’s offense has hit another gear with Jalen Milroe, and Auburn doesn’t have the firepower to go score-for-score. Rivalry energy will keep it scrappy early, but Alabama’s explosive play capability is the difference.
Final Prediction: Alabama 34, Auburn 20
Best Bet: Alabama -13.5
Florida State vs. Florida – QB Injuries Change Everything
Florida State’s quarterback situation has reshaped the game flow into a more conservative, run-centric matchup. Florida struggles to finish defensively late in games, especially versus power-running offenses.
Final Prediction: Florida State 27, Florida 24
Best Bet: Over 49.5
Best Bets for Week 14
- – Michigan ML
- – Ohio State vs. Michigan UNDER
- – Texas -6.5
- – Alabama -13.5
- – Florida State vs. Florida OVER
These are the strongest values for Rivalry Week, each aligned with matchup analytics, efficiency models, and late-season defensive trends.
FAQ – Week 14 College Football Predictions
- – Who will win Ohio State vs. Michigan?
Michigan’s advantage in the trenches and home-field edge give them the upper hand in a tight matchup. - – What are the best bets for Rivalry Week?
Michigan ML, Texas -6.5, and Alabama -13.5 are standout plays. - – What’s the biggest Week 14 matchup?
Ohio State vs. Michigan headlines the slate with direct playoff consequences.
The College Football Playoffs are Taking Shape
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