NFL Odds Shakes: The Dolphins and Steelers Trade

NEWSNFL
July 2, 2025

NFL Odds and News

Dolphins and Steelers Shake the NFL: Blockbuster Trade Changes the AFC Landscape

 

In a stunning offseason move that has sent shockwaves through the league and impacted NFL betting projections across the AFC, the Miami Dolphins have traded cornerback Jalen Ramsey, tight end Jonnu Smith, and a 2027 seventh-round pick to the Pittsburgh Steelers. In return, Miami receives All-Pro safety Minkah Fitzpatrick and a 2027 fifth-round selection.

This move immediately shifted NFL Odds, with sportsbooks adjusting lines in favor of Pittsburgh. The betting market now views the Steelers as a more complete and defensively dangerous team, while Miami takes a strategic step toward long-term flexibility.

 

Fitzpatrick Era Ends in Pittsburgh

 

The Steelers’ decision to trade Minkah Fitzpatrick marks the end of a high-profile tenure. Originally acquired from the Dolphins in 2019 for a first-round pick, Fitzpatrick quickly became one of the league’s top safeties. His 2022 contract extension, worth $72.988 million, once made him the highest-paid safety in the NFL.

Although Fitzpatrick made the Pro Bowl three straight times, his production has slightly declined. In the last two seasons, he recorded only one interception, prompting the Steelers to reassess their approach. However, his leadership and field awareness remain elite, which is precisely what the Dolphins are counting on in their secondary rebuild.

 

Ramsey Joins a Stacked Steelers Defense

 

For Pittsburgh, acquiring Jalen Ramsey adds a proven playmaker to an already aggressive defense. Ramsey confirmed the trade via social media, emphasizing his excitement to join a franchise known for its hard-nosed identity. Despite not requesting the trade, both sides agreed the move was mutually beneficial.

The Dolphins carefully timed the transaction post–June 1 to reduce their cap hit. Ramsey’s 2025 cap hit was $16.7 million, but Miami will now absorb less financial burden. In contrast, the Steelers acquire a 30-year-old lockdown corner with three All-Pro honors and 24 career interceptions.

 

Smith Reinforces Steelers’ Tight End Unit

 

Adding tight end Jonnu Smith wasn’t just a throw-in. Smith fills an immediate need for the Steelers, who lost Donald Parham Jr. to a potential Achilles injury in early June. Smith is coming off his best season, tallying 88 catches for 884 yards and 8 touchdowns.

Pittsburgh’s offense, led by coordinator Arthur Smith, heavily features tight end–based formations. The team used 13 more personnel than any other franchise last season. Smith’s versatility as a receiver and blocker aligns perfectly with Pittsburgh’s system and red-zone priorities.

 

Salary Cap Ramifications Favor Both Teams

 

The post-June one designation allowed Miami to split Ramsey’s dead cap hit over multiple seasons. This clever financial maneuver saves the Dolphins nearly $10 million for the 2025 season. Ramsey’s contract carries no guarantees beyond that season, giving Pittsburgh the option to restructure or move on as needed.

Meanwhile, Fitzpatrick’s deal remains one of the league’s top safety contracts, but Miami gains an experienced leader without additional long-term obligations. For both teams, the trade offers flexibility and balance.

 

New-Look Steelers Defense: Versatility Reigns

 

Ramsey brings flexibility to a Steelers secondary that already includes Joey Porter Jr., Darius Slay, Juan Thornhill, and DeShon Elliott. Defensive coordinator Teryl Austin now has the personnel to disguise coverages and play exotic packages. With nickel and dime defenses used in nearly 80% of snaps league-wide, Ramsey’s adaptability is crucial.

Having played safety during his college days, Ramsey has expressed openness to shifting positions. Whether he’s shadowing WR1s or playing a hybrid rover role, he will elevate the Steelers’ defensive ceiling immediately.

 

Dolphins’ Gamble on Familiar Ground

 

For Miami, bringing back Fitzpatrick is a calculated bet. Though his takeaway numbers have dipped, the Dolphins believe his familiarity with the system and leadership can help stabilize a transitioning secondary.

Additionally, parting ways with Smith could reshape their red-zone offense. Head coach Mike McDaniel may need to lean more on 11 personnel or pursue a tight end in the 2025 Draft. While some production is lost, Miami gains flexibility and financial breathing room to retool its operations.

 

How the Trade Affects Early NFL Odds

 

This trade has already nudged NFL Odds slightly in favor of Pittsburgh. Sportsbooks adjusted futures markets within hours, recognizing the Steelers’ now elite-level defense. Adding Ramsey and Smith, along with prior offseason acquisitions such as Aaron Rodgers and DK Metcalf, underscores Pittsburgh’s aggressive “win-now” strategy.

On the other hand, Miami’s outlook remains cautiously optimistic. While Fitzpatrick’s addition could prove savvy, oddsmakers have taken a “wait-and-see” approach. For bettors, this is a key opportunity to analyze early NFL betting angles before training camps reveal more clarity.

 

Two Franchises, Two Philosophies

 

This blockbuster trade exemplifies the contrasting philosophies of two AFC contenders. The Steelers are making an all-in push, bolstering both sides of the ball with veteran talent and proven leadership. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are betting on flexibility and familiarity, even if that means short-term uncertainty.

As the Super Bowl odds market reacts, bettors should watch both franchises closely. Pittsburgh is becoming one of the more intriguing teams to bet on, while Miami’s trajectory hinges on whether Fitzpatrick returns to form.

In the world of NFL futures lines to win the championship, timing is everything—and this trade proves that both Miami and Pittsburgh believe their time is now.

👉 Get up to $1500 bonus on your first deposit – Start betting smarter with enhanced odds and the award-winning customer service at BUSR.

Score up to $1,500
on your first deposit

50% Welcome Bonus

Join the BUSR Experience. Stream LIVE all major sport leagues, enjoy live in-game moments with live betting, exclusive team props, and season futures. You control your winnings with our new Early Cash-Out option—no need to wait for game endings. Enjoy 24-hour payouts, dive into over 400 casino games, and access to exclusive lines and boosted odds.