Week 15 Sunday Night Football ATS Odds: Vikings vs Cowboys

NFL Sunday Night Football ATS Odds Vikings Cowboys

 

Week 15 Sunday Night Football NFC matchup brings one of the league’s most physical defenses against an offense that has dominated at home all season. Below is the BUSR NFL odds analysis updated as of Sunday afternoon.

 

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Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys: Spreads, Moneylines, and Total

 

4:25 PM ET | BUSR Odds:

TeamSpreadMoneyline (ML)Total (Over/Under)
Minnesota Vikings+5.5 (-110)+195O 47.5 (-110)
Dallas Cowboys-5.5 (-110)-258U 47.5 (-110)

 

 

Team Overview – Minnesota Vikings

 

Recent Form:

  • – 5-8 overall, coming off a grind-it-out defensive win.
  • – The passing game is inconsistent depending on QB pressure.
  • – Red zone offense ranks in the bottom 10.

 

ATS Trends:

  • – Minnesota is 4–8 ATS this season.
  • The Vikings have a negative ATS record both at home and on the road.
  • – Minnesota has allowed more than 20 points in most of its 2025 games.
  • – In close games, their offense has been inconsistent.

 

Key Injuries:

  • – Theo Jackson S (Neck) was a limited participant in Wednesday’s practice
  • – Joshua Metellus S  (Shoulder) is limited to participating in Wednesday’s practice
  • – Ty Chandler, RB (Knee), was a full participant in Wednesday’s practice
  • – LT Christian Darrisaw (ankle) is questionable.
  • – EDGE Danielle Hunter is expected to play through a groin issue.

 

Team Overview – Dallas Cowboys

 

Recent Form:

  • – 6-6-1 overall, have lost only one game at home this season
  • – Dallas is averaging 29.3 points per game at AT&T Stadium.
  • – The Cowboys allow about 29.7 opponent points per game, which is toward the bottom of the league

ATS Trends:

  • – Dallas is 5–2 ATS in its last 7 home games.
  • – Dallas’s overall ATS record this season is around 7–5/7–6

Key Injuries:

  • – CeeDee Lamb, WR (Concussion), is questionable.
  • – Jake Ferguson, TE, is questionable.
  • – Hunter Luepke, RB, is questionable.
  • – Donovan Wilson is questionable.

 

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Match Breakdown

 

Dallas’ defensive front is the key matchup. The Cowboys bring one of the league’s highest edge-pressure rates against a Vikings offensive line that struggles whenever Darrisaw misses time or plays hurt. 

On the other side, Dallas’ offense at home is significantly more aggressive. Minnesota’s defense plays heavy matchup-zone and allows quick-game completions, which plays into Dak Prescott’s rhythm, especially targeting CeeDee Lamb from the slot.

 

Over/Under Notes

 

  • – Dallas games have leaned OVER more often this season, especially at home, rather than hitting the UNDER against strong defenses.
  • – Minnesota’s recent road games have also tended to hit the OVER
  • – Dallas’ offense has strong red-zone scoring ability, making them dangerous in short fields, though it is not elite across the entire season.

 

Lean: Under 46.5

 

Best Props

  • – Dak Prescott Over Passing Yards
  • – CeeDee Lamb Anytime TD (if active)
  • – Javonte Williams Over Rushing Attempts / Yards
  • – T.J. Hockenson Over Receptions (monitor injury status)

 

Prediction

 

Pick: Cowboys -6.5

Lean: Under 47.5

 

 

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