Spain Soccer Betting & Latest World Cup Odds
World Cup Betting | Spain vs France Semifinal Odds | BUSR
Spain have done it again — and again it took a late goal to do it. Mikel Merino capitalised on a catastrophic error from Belgium substitute keeper Senne Lammens to tap in from close range and send Spain to the World Cup semifinal for the first time since 2010. Fabían Ruiz opened the scoring in the first half, De Ketelaere equalized — becoming the first player to score against Spain in this tournament — and Merino arrived once more at the crucial moment. Two late winners in consecutive knockout matches for the Arsenal midfielder. The perfect foil for a team that leads the tournament in possession and has conceded just once in seven matches. France await in Arlington on Bastille Day — Deschamps’ side with their six wins and the Mbappé ankle question that may define everything. Here is everything you need to bet on Spain at the 2026 World Cup: the latest Spain vs France odds, full results, and the best bets.
Status Semi-Final Group H Winners | Record 5W 1D 0L 11 scored, 1 conceded | Next Match vs France July 14 | 3:00 PM ET |
SF Moneyline +216 Spain to win in 90 min | Goals Conceded 1 De Ketelaere (QF) — only goal against Spain | Manager Luis de la Fuente Head Coach |
Odds subject to change. Check live lines at BUSR.
Spain 2026 World Cup Results
| Date | Stage | Opponent | Result | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 15 | Group H MD1 | Cape Verde | Draw | 0-0 | Flat performance. Spain struggled to create in the opening game. |
| June 21 | Group H MD2 | Saudi Arabia | Win | 4-0 | Yamal, Pedri, Olmo all influential. Spain back to their dominant best. |
| June 26 | Group H MD3 | Uruguay | Win | 1-0 | Baña 42′ | Canobbio red card 90+5′ |
| July 3 | Round of 32 | Austria | Win | 3-0 | Oyarzabal 36′ 89′, Porro 66′ |
| July 6 | Round of 16 | Portugal | Win | 1-0 | Merino 90+1′ · AT&T Stadium, Arlington TX |
| July 10 | Quarter-Final | Belgium | Win | 2-1 | Fabían Ruiz, Merino (late) | De Ketelaere · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood CA · Courtois inj. 2H |
| July 14 | Semi-Final | France | Upcoming | — | AT&T Stadium, Arlington TX | 3:00 PM ET |
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Semi-Final: Spain vs France Preview
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Before the tournament started, analysts pinpointed this as the match of the tournament. Spain’s possession and pressing machine against France’s clinical counter-attack. Rodri vs Mbappé — if Mbappé is fit. Spain beat France 5-4 in the 2025 Nations League semifinal. France won their 2024 European Championship semifinal against Spain 2-1 with Yamal and Dani Olmo scoring. These teams know each other intimately at the highest level. Spain’s structure gives France less space than any other team in this draw — Deschamps will need to find a way to generate chances against a midfield that has outpossessed every opponent in this tournament. Spain’s danger: Rodri and Pedri can dictate at will, Oyarzabal is ruthless in the area, and Merino is the man for the big moment. The Mbappé fitness update will define the betting markets for this game.
Spain World Cup Betting Markets
| Market | Odds | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Spain to Win (90 min) | +216 | Spain are not 90-minute favorites but their possession control and defensive record make this line worth targeting. |
| France to Win (90 min) | +130 | France slight 90-min favorite. Mbappé fitness is the key variable — watch for lineup news. |
| Draw (90 min) | +224 | Both teams grind results. Spain have forced late drama in consecutive knockouts. Extra time is live. |
| Spain Spread PK | +118 | Covers Spain win OR draw after 90. Best structural bet for Spain backers without committing to the outright win. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | -123 | Sharpest bet on the board. Both defenses elite. Spain conceded 1 goal all tournament. France held scoreless in the knockouts until Paraguay. Low-scoring game expected. |
| Spain to Advance (incl. ET + Pens) | +116 | Best value in the match. Nearly even money on 6-match unbeaten run, best defense in tournament, Rodri controlling the tempo. |
| Spain to Win the World Cup | +290 | Beat France and they are the shortest-priced finalist. +290 on a team with 6 unbeaten, 1 goal conceded, and Merino finding the net in every big moment. |
Check BUSR for live lines — markets will move on Mbappé fitness.
Spain Key Players
At 18, Yamal is taking on the biggest match in this World Cup — the player who scored against France in the 2024 European Championship semifinal, playing against Mbappé in a World Cup semifinal on Bastille Day. His dribbling, his ability to receive in tight spaces under pressure, and his directness against high defensive lines make him Spain’s most dangerous individual attacker. He has been building into this tournament and the Belgium match showed his best form. France will dedicate significant defensive resources to him — which is exactly what creates space for Oyarzabal and Merino.
Oyarzabal has 4 goals in this tournament and is the most clinical finisher in Spain’s squad. His movement between defenders, his composure under pressure, and his ability to finish from any angle give Spain a centre-forward option who doesn’t need volume to produce output. Against France’s defensive structure — which has been excellent when it has needed to be — Oyarzabal’s ability to create his own chances from minimal space is the key to Spain opening the scoring.
Merino has now scored late winners in consecutive knockout matches — vs Portugal (90+1′) and vs Belgium (late, Lammens error) — and has become the defining player of Spain’s tournament run from the bench. His physicality, his timing of runs into the box, and his composure in big moments make him Spain’s most dangerous second-half option. If the Spain vs France semifinal stays tight — which it will — watch for Merino to be introduced and to create or score the decisive moment again.
Spain World Cup History
- 2022 QatarQuarter-finals. Lost to Morocco on penalties after a 0-0 AET draw. Spain had 1,021 passes but couldn’t score. The possession machine with no end product. De la Fuente has fixed that.
- 2018 RussiaRound of 16. Eliminated by host Russia on penalties after a 1-1 AET draw. A disappointing exit for a squad that had genuine quality.
- 2010 South AfricaChampions. Beat Netherlands 1-0 AET in the final. Iniesta’s winning goal. Spain’s only World Cup title — and the blueprint De la Fuente is trying to follow.
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