2026 Wisconsin Governor Odds

Crowley vs. Tiffany: Bet the Open Seat

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2026 Wisconsin Governor Odds

Wisconsin governor odds track David Crowley and Tom Tiffany in the race for the state’s open governor seat. Follow the candidate odds and polling on their own dates, see what makes this matchup different from an incumbent reelection and check BUSR for any available market.

Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Last updated: October 8, 2026 · Reviewed by: BUSR Editorial Team

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Candidate market

Crowley vs. Tiffany: Wisconsin Governor Odds

The candidate prices below are a dated reference. The calculator illustrates how a stake would pay at a selected reference price; it does not place a bet or quote a live BUSR line. To compare every state, see all governor election odds.

Democrat · Open seat David Crowley -500 American odds
Republican · Open seat Tom Tiffany +300 American odds

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A separate measure of the race

What do the Wisconsin governor polls say?

The four-survey average in this dated snapshot puts Crowley ahead. Its polls were fielded from July through September. A polling lead is not an odds quote or a prediction of the certified result.

Crowley vs. Tiffany polling

Average checked October 10, 2026 · polls through September 23
David Crowley portrait
DemocratDavid Crowley47.5%
Tom Tiffany portrait
RepublicanTom Tiffany44.0%
Crowley leads by 3.5 points in the polling average
Crowley47.5%
Tiffany44.0%

Four polls in this average

Marquette · Sep. 16–2349–46 · Crowley +3
TIPP · Aug. 14–18 · 1,199 likely voters47–43 · Crowley +4
Platform Communications · Aug. 12–13 · 500 likely voters48–44 · Crowley +4
RMG Research · July 20–24 · 800 registered voters46–43 · Crowley +3

The polling source rates Wisconsin Toss Up. The average is based on surveys from July 20 through September 23 and is not a current vote count or a betting price.

Polling average and rating · Portraits: RealClearPolling. Polling percentages are not betting odds or a BUSR offer.

Open seat, different backgrounds

Crowley vs. Tiffany: who is running for governor?

Gov. Tony Evers is not seeking another term, so neither nominee is defending the governor’s office. The candidates bring experience from different levels of government to a statewide race. That sets it apart from the incumbent race in our Pennsylvania governor odds and matches the open seat in our Georgia governor odds.

David Crowley (D)

Crowley has served as Milwaukee County executive since 2020. His campaign asks whether a leader from Wisconsin’s largest county can win the statewide executive office.

Market question: Can Crowley keep the governorship with Democrats?

Tom Tiffany (R)

Tiffany represents Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District in the U.S. House and previously served in the state legislature. His bid would shift the governor’s office to Republicans.

Market question: Can Tiffany win statewide after serving in Congress?

This is a state executive race. Its result does not directly determine control of the U.S. Senate or House. For those races, see all 2026 midterm election odds.

Background: Open governor seat · Milwaukee County · Tiffany’s House biography.

Reading the road to November

What could change the Wisconsin governor race?

The reference odds show Crowley as a strong favorite, while the older four-survey polling average shows a narrower lead. Watch newer surveys and campaign developments before treating either dated snapshot as current. For our analysis of the key races, see our free election picks.

New statewide surveys

Check each poll’s field dates and whether it sampled registered or likely voters. The displayed average ends in September, so a later survey may describe a different point in the campaign.

Turnout across Wisconsin

Support in Milwaukee, Dane County, the suburbs and the rest of the state can change a statewide result. Survey leads still depend on who votes in November.

The open-seat choice

Voters are selecting a successor to Evers. Crowley seeks to keep the office with Democrats; Tiffany seeks a change in party control.

Price and market terms

Check that the listed outcome names your intended candidate, then read the current BUSR price and settlement rules. A reference snapshot is only a dated illustration.

Before placing a wager

How do you bet on the Wisconsin governor election?

1. Find the race

Log in to BUSR and look for any listed Wisconsin governor market.

2. Confirm the quote

Check the candidate, current American odds and potential payout for your stake.

3. Read the terms

Review how the market settles and confirm your selection before submitting. For a full walkthrough, see how to bet on elections.

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Quick answers

Wisconsin Governor Odds FAQ

What are the 2026 Wisconsin governor odds?

The dated reference snapshot lists David Crowley at -500 and Tom Tiffany at +300 in American odds. They may differ from what is offered at BUSR. Log in to check any available market and its current terms.

Who is running for Wisconsin governor in 2026?

The featured general-election matchup is Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, a Democrat, against U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany, a Republican. Check the state election office for the full ballot.

When is the Wisconsin governor election?

Wisconsin’s general election is scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Why is the Wisconsin governor race open?

Gov. Tony Evers is not running for another term. Crowley and Tiffany are seeking to succeed him rather than challenge an incumbent governor.

What do the Crowley vs. Tiffany polls show?

The dated polling panel shows Crowley at 47.5% and Tiffany at 44.0% in a four-survey average, a Crowley lead of 3.5 points. The latest survey ended September 23, 2026.

Is the Wisconsin governor race a toss-up?

The dated polling source rates the contest Toss Up. Race ratings can change and are editorial assessments, not betting odds or election results.

Do governor odds and polling percentages mean the same thing?

No. Polling percentages measure support in a surveyed sample. American odds describe a payout for a defined market outcome. Their dates and methods differ.

What does Crowley at -500 mean?

At -500, a winning $50 stake would earn $10 profit plus the returned stake. This illustrates the dated reference price, not a current BUSR offer.

What does Tiffany at +300 mean?

At +300, a winning $100 stake would earn $300 profit plus the returned stake. This illustrates the dated reference price, not a current BUSR offer.

How can I bet on the Wisconsin governor election?

Log in to BUSR, check whether a Wisconsin governor market is listed, confirm the candidate and current odds, then read the posted settlement terms before placing a wager.

Does the Wisconsin governor race decide U.S. Senate control?

No. The governor leads Wisconsin’s executive branch. U.S. Senate control depends on separate federal elections.

Why can a favored candidate still lose?

Odds reflect a quoted price at a point in time. They do not guarantee a result, and both prices and voter preferences may change before election day.

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